Philadelphia will be on the road for the first time in a month when they play at Minnesota on Sunday afternoon. Both teams will be happy to be playing inside a dome after slugging their way thru snow-filled games last week. The Eagles beat the Lions 34-20 in blizzard-like conditions while the Vikings lost 29-26 to the Ravens in a wild fourth quarter that saw five lead changes over the final 2 minutes of the game.
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The Eagles are hot right now as they’ve won five straight games while going 4-1 ATS. Their lone pointspread failure came when they beat the Cardinals by 3 points as 3.5-point home favorites. Philadelphia is also a fresh team as they just had their bye three weeks ago. To compare, Minnesota had their bye after Week 4 way back in September; the Vikings will play their 10th consecutive game on Sunday.
Philadelphia’s offense is in tremendous form; the Eagles have scored 24 points or more in five straight games. Overall, the Eagles are averaging 25.7 points and 409.4 yards of offense per game this season. Philadelphia averages 8.0 yards per pass attempt which ranks them #4 in the NFL. They also own the best rushing attack in the league, averaging 158.8 yards per game on 5.0 yards per rush.
Minnesota’s poor defense will be hard-pressed to stop the Eagles in this game. The Vikings have given up 20 points or more in every game this season. Overall, Minnesota is allowing 30.4 points and 401.8 yards per game. The Vikings allow opponents to gain 5.6 yards per play (#22) and 7.0 yards per pass attempt (#21).
The Vikings’ pass defense is going to get torched in this game by Philadelphia QB Nick Foles. Minnesota has allowed a league-high 29 passing touchdowns this season, and they lost their best cover-corner (Xavier Rhodes) last week to injury. Foles is having an exceptional season running Chip Kelly’s offense. Foles has a QB rating of 120.0 with an incredible 20/1 TD/INT ratio.
Minnesota’s poor rush defense also has an unfavorable match-up in this game against LeSean McCoy who is having a monster breakout season. McCoy broke Philadelphia’s team record with 217 rushing yards last week. On the season, McCoy has run for 1,305 yards while averaging 5.0 yards per rush.
Matt Cassel will be under center once again for Minnesota. But unfortunately for him, the Vikings backfield is depleted. Adrian Peterson (foot) is expected to miss this game and his replacement, Toby Gerhart, hurt his hamstring last week and he’s highly questionable to play. The missing running backs will put this game on Cassel’s shoulders, and we simply can’t see him trading points with a potent offense like Philadelphia’s.
Minnesota is 5-1 ATS over their last six games so taking points with them at home may look attractive. But the Vikings face a daunting challenge in this game as the match-ups greatly favor Philadelphia. The Vikings are also off 3 consecutive down to the wire games.They played back-to-back overtime games against division opponents prior to last week’s back and forth barnburner in Baltimore. The Vikings will have little left in the tank for this game.
Philadelphia is 7-1 ATS in games they win SU this season. The Eagles have won six of those seven games by 6 points or more with their averaging win coming by 12.5 points per game.
We can’t envision a scenario in which Philadelphia loses this game to Minnesota. And since their pattern of covering games they win is pretty strong, we’ll lay the points with the Eagles in this game on Sunday afternoon.Play EAGLES (-).