Bet Cowboys Spread vs. Bears for Thursday Night Football

Nikki Adams

Tuesday, December 2, 2014 2:28 PM GMT

Tuesday, Dec. 2, 2014 2:28 PM GMT

Dallas Cowboys and Chicago Bears look to rebound in week 14 when they collide in a critical NFC showdown on Thursday Night Primetime Football. Sports betting shops have the Cowboys matched as the favourites against the hosts. Do the bookies have it right? Find out as we breakdown this matchup.

Dallas Cowboys (8-4, 5-0 away)
Dallas Cowboys suffered a huge setback last Thursday behind a 33-10 loss to the Philadelphia Eagles, a game that was underscored by the battle for top spot in the NFC East. By losing that pivotal battle, the Cowboys have been relegated into a battle for the final wildcard spot in the NFC. With their postseason hopes hanging in the balance of their last four games on the season, it goes without saying, their upcoming clash with the Chicago Bears is a must-win game.

The defeat to the Eagles may have surprised some NFL bettors, not necessarily the loss but the way in which they lost. Cowboys were unable to put up more than 10 points all while backup quarterback Mark Sanchez thoroughly outplayed Tony Romo. Given how successfully the Cowboys had navigated the schedule since an opening loss to the Niners at home, winning eight of ten games ahead of their date with the Eagles, the expectation was that it would be a much closer battle.

Bookmakers send the Cowboys into their clash with the Bears as the 3.5-point road favourites across sports betting exchanges, an NFL betting line that first opened as high a 4.5-points at some cyber shops. It's an auspicious trading outlook for the Cowboys given their recent setback, but it's underlined by a perfect 5-0 SU record on their travels around the NFL this term. Amongst their road successes, a win over the Seahawks practically leaps off the page.

NFL Betting Value Found in Thursday's Cowboys vs. Bears

Chicago Bears (5-7, 2-3 home)
Chicago Bears are after a forgettable Thanksgiving Thursday outing in Detroit behind a 34-17 loss that saw them slip to 5-7 SU and out of the playoff picture for the foreseeable.

Against winning teams (above .500) the Bears emerge 1-6 SU this season, the lone scalp was a win over the Niners in week 2 NFL betting. Both sides of the ball leave much to be desired. Bears offense is underachieving while defense continues to struggle to make an impact. Perhaps, most worrisome, is the ongoing inconsistency and unreliability of Jay Cutler.

The Bears are 2-0 SU and ATS at home in their last two games, albeit the two wins are at the expense of lesser teams Minnesota (.417) and Tampa Bay (.167). To make it three in a row at home, they'll need to transcend their inability to overcome winning teams. If the NFL odds were any indication, there isn't a lot of confidence in the Bears to do anything such.
 

NFL Betting Line: Cowboys -3.5 over Bears
NFL Opening Line: 4.5-points

Dallas Cowboys were dealt a setback in week 12 NFL betting after coming off a short week. They were ill prepared for their divisional foes and it showed on the field as the Eagles contained the Cowboys' offense and picked apart their defense impressively.

Going into this Thursday clash, the Cowboys have had more time to prepare. With four games left on the season and a playoff berth within reach, they should be motivated and focused for this clash. They are the favourites on the NFL odds board for good reason. They are 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS on the road with an 8.6-point margin of victory.

By contrast, the Bears are 2-3 SU and ATS at home, form recently improved on the back of a pair of losing teams in the NFL. Most crucially, they boast a 4.2-point margin of defeat at home which falls in line with the NFL betting odds rolled out for this clash.
 

NFL Betting Verdict:
Based on everything we've seen so far from these two teams, the Cowboys should come through for bettors on their NFL picks. Chicago's inability to overcome winning teams takes the shine off them as the tempting home dogs. So we're backing the Cowboys as the 3.5-point favourites on the road on our wagering tickets for week 14 NFL betting.

NFL Picks: Cowboys -3.5-points at 5Dimes

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