Bet Colts +7 vs. Panthers With Your Monday Night Football NFL Picks

Jason Lake

Sunday, November 1, 2015 1:11 AM GMT

Is the betting public finally on board with the undefeated Carolina Panthers? Maybe, judging by the NFL odds for Monday night's matchup with the Indianapolis Colts.

Jason's 2015 record as of Oct. 31: 22-17-1 ATS; 0-1 ML (-1.00 units); 18-26 Total

Some NFL picks are easier than others. We've got a doozy coming up for this week's very special episode of Monday Night Football (8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN); the Carolina Panthers are hosting the Indianapolis Colts, and it looks like the betting public may have switched allegiances from the otherwise-popular Colts (3-4 SU, 2-5 ATS) to the undefeated Panthers (6-0 SU, 5-1 ATS). Carolina is laying 6.5 points on our NFL odds board at press time, with our consensus reports showing 53-percent support for the Cats.

The sharps might have other ideas. They made the Colts their early pick, with 59-percent consensus at the open. And according to our expanded report, Indianapolis is pulling in 54 percent of the monies wagered, for an average bet of $195 compared to Carolina's $147. Ah, but just to confuse matters even further, our surveys show four $1000+ bets on the Panthers and just two on the Colts. Good times.

 

Seven Seven, Speak So Slightly
Suffice to say, this is one of those situations where a pick on either side could be justified, which means there isn't much of a profit margin to be had. At least a few wiseguys have taken matters into their own hands by putting some early money on Carolina, trying to nudge that spread onto and past the magic number seven for a late – and much larger – bet on Indianapolis.

Every half-point counts in every game, but especially in this one. Let's take you back in time to our pick against the total; we took UNDER 47 based primarily on Carolina's No. 6-ranked defense (now with more Luke Kuechly and Jared Allen~!), the 55-percent chance of rain in Charlotte, and the Bank of America Stadium turf getting a bit chewed up. You can make it an 80-percent chance of rain now, according to the latest weather reports at press time. Soggy soggy, soggy balls of leather.

 

Órale, Holmes
Getting the Indianapolis Colts at +7 or better seems like a pretty good deal in what could be a low-scoring affair. As disappointing as this season has started off for Indianapolis, QB Andrew Luck is just beginning to regain his form after coming back from a shoulder injury. His offensive line has been a bit problematic; center Khaled Holmes will miss Monday's game after suffering a neck injury last week against the New Orleans Saints, but Jonotthan Harrison could be an improvement in relief.

The Panthers look like they'll be without center Ryan Kalil (ankle), so we'll call it a wash in that department. It's a tough call, but we're going to recommend a suitably small bet on the Colts in this contest. They're available at the desired magic number, and they've got upside. Sweet, sweet upside.

NFL Pick: Take the Colts +7 (–115) at YouWager

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