Bet Colts -3 as Luck & Brady Collide Sunday Night

Jeff Grant

Thursday, November 13, 2014 4:57 PM GMT

The betting public is eager to back New England quarterback Tom Brady as an underdog, which makes Indianapolis a top NFL pick with Andrew Luck under center.

 

Red Hot

New England is one of the hottest teams in the league by winning its last five games, which can’t be ignored when looking over SBR's NFL odds page, as it was last seen picking up a 43-21 victory over the Denver Broncos as three-point home underdogs on Nov. 2.

 

The Patriots are known for playing their best football late in the year—clearly demonstrated in their 30-3 SU record in the second half of the regular season since 2010.

 

It’s important to point out that the squad has won and covered the number in all three games when receiving points in 2014.

 

Get our take on this game's opening odds.

 

Measuring Stick

Indianapolis will find out if its a true Super Bowl contender during this AFC matchup, which is important to consider when locking in your week's betting selections, as it looks to snap a four-game losing streak in this series.

 

The Colts are focused on gaining revenge from a 43-22 setback to the Patriots as 7.5-point road underdogs in last year’s playoffs, but they were only out-gained by 33 yards in that affair.

 

Over the last two-plus seasons, the franchise is 2-0 SUATS off the bye week, with both games games going OVER the betting total.

 

Brady

Patriots signal-caller Tom Brady owns a 13-8 SU record in 21 games played on Sunday night, including a virtuoso performance in earning a 43-17 blowout victory over the Cincinnati Bengals on Oct. 5.

 

The future Hall of Fame inductee leads the NFL with a 0.9 interception percentage, while he’s tossed three touchdowns and put together a 106.9 passer rating in beating Andrew Luck in their first two meetings.

 

Time to Step Up

Luck has completed just 51.6 percent of his passes with seven interceptions in two games against the Patriots, which may cause even more action to land on the road underdog heading into the opening kickoff at Lucas Oil Stadium.

 

The former Stanford Cardinal star has already established a new single-season career-high with 26 passing touchdowns—a big reason why Indianapolis is averaging a league-high 32.2 points per game.

 

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Colts as one of their Week 11 NFL picks, as they’ve gone 17-4 SU and 16-5 ATS at this venue with their star under center.

 

Free NFL Pick:  Indianapolis Colts -3 at BetOnline

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