Bet Browns vs. Seahawks To Go 'Over' 43 With Your NFL Picks

Jordan Sharp

Friday, December 18, 2015 10:14 PM GMT

Johnny Manziel and the Browns have a tough trip ahead of them for Week 15, as they head into Century Link Field to play the Seahawks. Even with the Seahawks dealing with some serious injury concerns after Week 14, the NFL odds still favor them at -14 ½, with a total of 43 points.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2837208, "sportsbooksIds":[169,1096,93,19,92,238], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

NFL Pick: Over 43 

Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle 

 

Will Seattle’s Injuries Leave Door Open For Johnny Football?
The Seahawks have looked outstanding over the last three or four weeks, and it’s actually been their offense that has looked more impressive. Behind the stellar play of Russell Wilson, the Seahawks have been moving the ball with ease, and moving up the NFC standings. While they won’t be able to catch the Cardinals for the NFC West crown, they could end up playing their way into a position to meet the winner of the NFC East in the wild card round of the playoffs, which would almost be like getting a bye week for the Seahawks.

However, this past week has seriously hurt their chances. They are already dealing with an injury to Marshawn Lynch, who has been out and rehabbing away from the team over the last few weeks with an abdominal injury, and now the team has lost their running back of the future in Thomas Rawls for the remained of the season after he broke his ankle this past week.

It doesn’t get better for the Hawks either. They also lost Cam Chancellor to an injury this past week, and while his is not as serious, it might force him to miss this game against the Browns. This is the Browns’ Super Bowl this season, and while they will likely still lose the game despite the Hawks’ injuries, it makes handicapping this game a little more difficult. Can we trust the Hawks as big two-touchdown favorites on the NFL odds board without one of their best defenders and their top runner?

 

The Sharp Pick
With some question marks surrounding the Seahawks, the better play may be to lay off the spread and go with the total instead. At only 43 points, and with the Browns’ defense playing horrible this season, the resurgent Seahawks offense might be a good play here to take the over. I could easily see the Hawks sitting Chancellor as a precaution in this one, which could help the Browns’ passing game, and help their offense get to double figures, and with the Hawks’ protecting Wilson a lot better, and with his connection to Doug Baldwin looking as strong as ever, I am going with the over here. After giving up about 30 sacks in the first eight games of the season, the Hawks have allowed Wilson to get sacked less than ten times since then.

The Browns are giving up nearly 28 points per game this season, and over their last five games, the Hawks are averaging nearly 35 points per game. While some of their opponents haven’t been scoring much either, the Browns looked good last week when their running game got going, and if they can just make the Hawks respect their running game, Manziel and company should be able to move the football some. Even if the game is a blowout, the over could still be a good play. The Browns could get one or two garbage time touchdowns after the Hawks drop 30 points on the Browns. With multiple potential game scripts pointing towards a big game from the Hawks, I see the total as the safest play for our NFL picks for this late afternoon contest in Seattle. The over is a combined 15-11 between these teams this season.