Bet Broncos -7.5 ATS over Cardinals for Week 5 NFL Pick

Steven Suarez

Friday, October 3, 2014 7:18 PM UTC

Friday, Oct. 3, 2014 7:18 PM UTC

Both teams are coming off a bye, but come check out why we think the Broncos, classified as the NFL odds favorites at home, should be your ATS pick for this weekend. 

A somewhat dramatic shift has seen the spread move from nine points down to 7.5 at a lot of NFL betting sites. There's no debating who's been the better team to side with against the spread, as the Cardinals have cashed in two of their three games this season, whereas the Broncos have yet to cover once.

Will we see a high-scoring game Sunday? Right now the O/U is at 47.5 points.

Denver in 2014-15 Regular Season: 2-1 SU, 0-3 ATS, +2.7 margin of victory

Arizona in 2014-15 Regular Season: 3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS, +7.0 margin of victory


Denver Broncos
The Broncos went into the bye week fresh off losing their first game of the season in Week 3. They indeed battled hard against the Seahawks in a rematch of last season's Super Bowl, but ended up losing 26-20 in overtime. 

Denver was down 17-3 at one point, but scored 17 points in the fourth quarter alone to force the extra period. Unfortunately for the Broncos, they were unable to stop Russell Wilson and company from driving down the field and scoring a touchdown, which sealed the deal.

QB Peyton Manning had a more than serviceable game against a vaunted Seattle defense. He threw for 303 yards with two touchdowns and one pick, with Emmanuel Sanders acting as the hog in the passing game. He caught 11 balls for 149 yards in the loss. Tight ends Julius Thomas and Jacob Tamme were the recipients of the touchdown throws. In the run game, Montee Ball was completely stuffed, as he only logged 38 rushing yards on 14 attempts.

The Broncos could face another tough test against an undefeated Arizona team this weekend.


Arizona Cardinals
The Cardinals are also coming off a bye, but they went into their week off in high spirits after beating the 49ers at home in Week 3. They've now beaten San Francisco, San Diego and the New York Giants to remain unbeaten on teh season.

Against the 49ers, Drew Stanton did what he needed to do, throwing for 244 yards and two touchdowns without turning the ball over. That's been the key to Stanton's success so far, and he'll have to keep that trend going in order for Arizona to keep pace with the high-powered Denver offense. In the 23-14 win over San Francisco, Michael Floyd went over 100 yards receiving, and the Cardinals defense did well to keep the 49ers' offense relatively at bay.

Now the biggest challenge of the season awaits Arizona's defense. How will they contain Peyton Manning and his plethora of weapons? Will Stanton be able to lead the Cardinals down the field on a consistent basis? We'll soon find out.


Suarez Says:
We're sure a lot of people will be taking Arizona at this kind of price.

After all, the Cardinals have yet to lose, and the Broncos haven't exactly dominated like they did all throughout last season. It's been an uneven start for Denver, that's for sure.

However, there's a reason the Broncos are favored by such a large margin, and ultimately we feel more confident backing them to win big than we do Arizona to stay close. Stanton is a solid quarterback that avoids mistakes, but we don't think he has it in him to match Manning score for score in this one. Denver has far more offensive weapons, and it's not like Arizona (#18 against the pass) has been out-of-this-world defensively.

With that being said, we will recommend the Broncos as one of our top NFL picks for Week 5's action. We look for Manning and company to hand the Cardinals their first loss of the season.

Free NFL Pick: Broncos -7.5 at BookMaker

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