Week 6 serves up several outstanding divisional clashes, a few mismatches and some shaping up as close contests. How will these games unfold in over-under betting? Join us as we provide insight into each clash and serve up our choice NFL picks for all 15 games.
Week 5 Recap
After an extremely successful week 4 with our over-under bets, in which we enjoyed an 11-2 winning record, Week 5 saw our NFL picks go 8-6-1 overall. OK, not as successful as the week prior, but we remained in the green happily. A trend we aim to continue with our Week 6 NFL picks for your over-under betting thrills. Here goes.
Indianapolis Colts vs. Houston Texans O/U 47.0
Consider Thursday Night Primetime Football has delivered scoring feasts this season, the Over 47.0 on your NFL picks looks immediately attractive. Add to that Andrew Luck’s prolific form over the last few weeks, Colts top-ranked passing offense and the divisional implications of this game, you get a sense of just how much of a challenge this is going to be for the Texans defense. Granted the under has the edge in Texans’ games, going 2-3 this season. But stopping Luck and the O-line is easier said than done. The Texans will have to play up to their opponents who have gone 4-1 in over-under betting through five games, if they are to have a hope of defying the NFL odds across the board.
NFL Picks: Over 47.0
Baltimore Ravens vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers O/U 43.5
Baltimore Ravens are 2-3 over-under this season while the Bucs have gone 3-2 over-under. Since Mike Glennon took over at centre, the Bucs have been averaging just above 30 points per game – he’s average 6.86 yards per passing attempt and he has racked up five touchdowns, two interceptions and four sacks. Joe Flacco, meanwhile, is averaging 6.75 yards per passing attempt and he has racked up 7 touchdowns, 3 interceptions and 7 sacks. With defensive issues on both sides of the ball, offset by offensive weapons, this game has the hallmark of a score-fest as momentum is sure to swing back and forth.
NFL Picks: Over 43.5
Carolina Panthers vs. Cincinnati Bengals O/U 44.0
Divisional leaders collide in this game which could have lasting implications on their respective seasons and the directions they take. Panthers have momentum ahead of this game after a come-back-from behind win over the Bears – they are 3-2 in over-under betting this season and are averaging 20.8 points per game. By comparison, the Bengals are a stingy 1-3 in over-under betting all while averaging 24.3 points per game. Last week, they were humiliated by New England Patriots so Andy Dalton and his O-line, which simply never got going against the Patriots, have something to prove here. At first glance, this felt like an ‘under’ play, but after further thought we’re leaning towards the ‘over’ 44.0 as the recommended NFL pick. Simply put the NFL line is almost too conveniently set to the tune of the sum of each side’s points on average per game.
NFL Picks: Over 44.0
Denver Broncos vs. New York Jets O/U 47.5
Denver Broncos had their best outing in week 5 NFL betting, beating the then unbeaten Cardinals 41-20. It was the first cover of the season for the Broncos, as well it improved their over-under record to 2-2 overall. Overall, Broncos have improved to 29.0 points per game through four games (they had a week 4 bye). They also boast the third best passing offense with 317 yards per game, not to mention the prolific Peyton Manning. New York Jets, meanwhile, were served a bagel in San Diego last weekend, it was the most talked about bagel in New York we’d wager. As a result, the Jets are down to 15.8 points per game and all but written off in NFL betting circles. Few expect the Jets to come out quite as flat as they did against the Chargers, but if Broncos’ offense is firing at all cylinders – as it did at the expense of the Cardinals – they could account for the bulk of the total odds set for this game.
NFL Picks: Over 47.5
Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings OTB
Odds makers are yet to release any odds on this game – too many variables to consider apparently and not enough information available yet from both camps to commit to a sports betting outlook. So we’re working in the dark here. By the numbers, the under has the edge in both camps. Lions are 1-4 in over-under betting while the Vikings are 2-3 in over-under betting. What’s more, the Lions are averaging just 19.2 points per game while the Vikings are averaging 20.2 points per game. This one could go either way in every NFL betting aspect – from SU to ATS and over-under betting outcomes (when we know what the market prices are, of course). For the time being, we’re leaning towards the under on our NFL picks.
NFL Picks: Under
Green Bay Packers vs. Miami Dolphins O/U 49.0
When a highly efficient offense comes up against a streaky but capable offense, chances are it will be a shootout. Packers are averaging 26.8 points per game and are flush off a 42-10 victory over the Vikings on Thursday. Dolphins are averaging 23.8 points per game and they are coming off a win over the hapless Raiders in London and a bye week (in that order). The over is trending in both camps this season with the Packers going 4-1 and the Dolphins 3-1. More likely, than not, this should be another game that goes over the total odds set across sportsbooks.
NFL Picks: Over 49.0
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Tennessee Titans OTB
Jacksonville Jaguars have gone over in total betting four out of five times this season, but not exactly down to any offensive impressions they’ve made in the games. They’ve been on the receiving end of blowouts all while accounting for a paltry 13.4 points per game. On the flipside, the Titans are 2-3 in over-under betting all while averaging a paltry 17.6 points per game. Unless these two outfits undergo a personality makeover by Sunday, this should be a low scoring game. Odds makers are yet to release the NFL odds for this game, but we’re going to bet under regardless seeing that it would appear both sides need SAT NAV to find the end zone.
NFL Picks: Under
New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills O/U 45.0
Patriots are averaging 24.6 points per game to Bills’ output of 19.2 points per game, which makes a good case for the under 45.0 on your NFL picks. That said, Patriots have won 20 of the last 21 meetings with their divisional minions, including a 23-21 win in week 1 and a 34-20 win in week 17 last season, and a 52-28 win in week 4 and 37-31 win in week 10 of 2012. If the ‘over’ trend in this NFL betting clash holds up, as is often the case it would seem, this game should go Over 45.0 at the weekend.
NFL Picks: Over 45.0
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns O/U 47.0
Cleveland Browns own a perfect 4-0 record in over-under betting this season while the Steelers are 3-2 in over-under betting. These divisional rivals met on opening day of the NFL 2014 season in Pittsburgh. Steelers won the highly entertaining, high-octane clash 30-27 after accounting for 503 yards of total offense to Browns’ 389 yards of total offense. Steelers are averaging 22.8 points per game while the Browns are averaging 25.8 points per game. If this game holds up to its predecessor in week 1, this could be a straightforward NFL pick.
NFL Picks: Over 47.0
San Diego Chargers vs. Oakland Raiders O/U 43.0
Chargers are solid on both sides of the ball, while the Raiders are simply a mess. Chargers have been winning at will, reeling off four straight wins since their opening defeat to the Cardinals. They’re hanging an average of 26.6 points per game on the opposition. Yet, at the same, time holding them to just 12.6 points per game. Everything about this clash suggest the ‘under’ is the savvy NFL pick.
NFL Picks: Under 43.0
Chicago Bears vs. Atlanta Falcons O/U 53.5
Two high-octane offenses collide in week 6 NFL betting, offset by the absence of any viable defense. Falcons’ defense is allowing 28.6 points per game and Bears’ defense is allowing 26.2 points per game. If this game doesn’t go over the 53.5 total set on the NFL odds board, colour the world shocked. Let’s not forget Matt Ryan is a statistician’s dream while Locker is a mixed bag of tricks, some good, some brilliant and some bad.
NFL Picks: Over 53.5
Dallas Cowboys vs. Seattle Seahawks O/U 47.0
Seattle Seahawks may not be up to their lofty standards by the numbers, but they are still winning games for the most part and playing solid football. Let’s not forget they are nigh unbeatable at home with the under trending perceptibly in their home affairs – 8-12-0 over-under since 2012. Cowboys’ offense has perked up in recent weeks, which has pushed their average point-production per game to 27.0. That said they are still 2-3 over-under on the season, largely down to defense looking competent in the last few weeks. This game could go either way, making it a bit of a coin toss on our NFL picks. Then again, leave it to the Russell Wilson and company to expose the weaknesses of the Cowboys. Therefore, we’re going to buck the popular betting trends and recommend the ‘over’ 47.0.
NFL Picks: Over 47.0
Washington Redskins vs. Arizona Cardinals OTB
Another game that isn’t available yet on the NFL odds board, mainly because of the questions surrounding the quarterback position in Arizona. Hard to say which way this game goes, without any NFL market indicators. What we do know is the Cardinals have gone 0-2 in over-under betting at home this season, albeit against the San Diego Chargers and San Francisco 49ers – two sides that are solid defensively. Meanwhile, the Redskins have gone 3-2 in over-under betting, thanks to a huge win over Jacksonville (who hasn’t blown those guys off the field), participating in a high-octane 37-34 defeat to the Eagles and a blowout 45-14 defeat to the Giants. One aspect practically leaps of the page: Redskins are fifth in passing and the Cardinals are 30th defending the pass.
NFL Picks: Over
New York Giants vs. Philadelphia Eagles O/U 50.5
Two high-octane offenses alongside defenses prone to faltering suggests this is going to be a shootout between Eli Manning and Nick Foles. Eagles are averaging 31.2 points per game while the Giants are averaging 26.6 points per game. If both teams kick it up a notch, play up to the opposing offense, this game could prove the highest scoring affair of week 6 NFL betting.
NFL Picks: Over 50.5
San Francisco 49ers vs. St. Louis Rams O/U 43.5
San Francisco 49ers have been trending on the under in total betting. They are 1-4 through five rounds of the season, thanks to a stingy defense that has proved deciding in each and every game. Offense has had its moments, particularly the rushing attack that is third in the league with 145.0 yards. Rams, meanwhile, have split their four games evenly in over-under betting this season. At first glance, this divisional clash looked to have ‘under’ written all over it. Upon further thought, we’ve decided to go against the betting grain. Frank Gore is gaining strides and finding form and the Rams are vulnerable defending against the run. What’s more, Kaepernick has a lot to prove. Last season, he perked up against the Rams in a 35-11 win in St. Louis. A high scoring victory by the Niners in week 4 that proved a catalyst for a sensational run reeling off five straight wins in which they scored no less than 31-points.
NFL Picks: Over 43.5