Best Over/Under Bets in the NFL Week 1 Odds Markets

Nikki Adams

Saturday, September 6, 2014 8:57 PM GMT

With the book set to close on Week 1 NFL betting odds, here’s a final look at Total Betting odds with our top picks. 

Minnesota Vikings vs. St. Louis Rams O/U 43.0
Last season, the Minnesota Vikings performed well as the away underdogs in total betting, going 6-2-0 on the over, with the average points above market expectations at +7.3.  Similarly, the St. Louis Rams went over 3-1-0 as the home favourite with an average of +8.2 points above market expectations. It remains to be seen how well Shaun Hill does at centre but Minnesota Vikings’ rushing offense could give the Rams’ solid defense fits.
Free NFL Pick: Over 43.0

 

New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins O/U 46.5
The last time these two sides combined for a score higher than the current 46.5 chalk line was 2011, when the Patriots beat the Dolphins 38-24 to open the season in Miami and 27-24 at home to complete the sweep. The highest combined score achieved by this pair was 44 last season, a divisional split with Patriots winning 27-17 at Gillette Stadium and the Dolphins winning 24-20 at home. What’s more, Miami’s record on the over was 0-2-1 as the home underdog last season, with the mark missed by an average of -4.2 points. It would appear that the under 46.5 is the smart NFL pick for this matchup.
Free NFL Pick: Under 46.5

 

New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons O/U 51.5
Two pretty good passing offenses collide in this game, with the Saints boasting arguably the stronger one with Drew Brees at centre. That has some bettors considering the Over 51.5 as their NFL Pick in this game.

Last season, the Falcons underperformed in total betting markets as the home underdogs, going 0-3-0 on the over, with the average amount of points the game went under expectations at -10.7. Similarly, the New Orleans Saints underperformed as the road favourites going just 1-3 on the over, with the amount of points the game went under expectations at -11.2.

In our opinion, these trends suggest this game is headed for the Under 51.5 chalked by bookies, something that New Orleans’ overall Over record, which was 6-12, would also point towards. Well, at least it’s got a 50% shot. Finally, both games last season went well under the 51.5 mark with the Saints winning 23-17 at home and 17-13 in Atlanta.
Free NFL Pick: Under 51.5

 

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Baltimore Ravens O/U 43.0
In addition to the tight NFL Odds on this game, the totals are set low at 43.0 on two outfits that could explode in the offense category this season. Certainly, Kubiak’s offensive scheme seems to be working for Joe Flacco and, in turn, it would appear to be underrated in totals betting. Last season, the Ravens struggled in many aspects so their stats should be taken within that context. Cincinnati Bengals however did well as the road underdogs with an over record of 2-1.
Free NFL Pick: Over 43.0

 

Other Recommended NFL Picks:

Cleveland Browns vs. Pittsburgh Steelers O/U 41.5

NFL Pick: Over 41.5

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Philadelphia Eagles O/U 52.0
NFL Pick: Under 52.0

Oakland Raiders vs. New York Jets O/U 40.5
NFL Pick: Under 40.5

Tennessee Titans vs. Kansas City Chiefs O/U 43.5
NFL Pick: Over 43.5

Washington Redskins vs. Houston Texans O/U 44.5
NFL Pick: Under 44.5

Buffalo Bills vs. Chicago Bears O/U 47.5
NFL Pick: Under 47.5

Carolina Panthers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers O/U 38.0
NFL Pick:
Over 38.0

San Francisco 49ers vs. Dallas Cowboys O/U 51.0
NFL Pick:
Under 51.0

Indianapolis Colts vs. Denver Broncos O/U 55.5
NFL Pick:
Under 55.5

New York Giants vs. Detroit Lions O/U 47.0
NFL Pick:
Under 47.0

San Diego Chargers vs. Arizona Cardinals O/U 46.0
NFL Pick:
Under 46.0