Best NFL Teams To Bet On In December Since 2008

Jay Pryce

Thursday, November 29, 2018 9:46 AM UTC

Thursday, Nov. 29, 2018 9:46 AM UTC

Proven NFL passers equal success against the spread in Decmeber. See for yourself with our list of the top-10 betting teams against the spread during the month over the last decade. 

December is the most exciting month in the NFL. Divisional titles are up for grabs, and half the league, since the introduction of a salary cap (1994), is jockeying for the playoffs. We have compiled the top 10 betting teams against the spread (ATS) during this critical month over the last decade, and one factor equates to success more than any other in this span: fielding proven passers.

10. New York Giants (24-19 ATS, 55.8 percent)

The Giants have endured just one losing ATS December (2012) since 2008 with two-time Super Bowl MVP Eli Manning under center. His prior passing performances from one week to the next are a good barometer on when to back or fade New York versus the number. If Manning struggles to find the end zone one weekend, expect much better the next, and vice versa. The G-Men are 16-7 ATS (69.5 percent) when he tosses fewer than two touchdowns in his previous contest, as opposed to 8-12 ATS (40.0 percent) passing a pair or more.

9. Atlanta Falcons (24-18-0 ATS, 57.1 percent)

The Falcons have rolled in the betting market against non-division foes in the month of December during the last decade, going 14-7 ATS (66.7 percent) overall. They are topping a -1.4 average line by 5.0 points per game. Veteran QB Matt Ryan has commandeered all but one game, leading Atlanta to 26.6 points per contest. Versus NFC South foes, and more familiar defenses, the average drops to 20.1 points.

T-7. New England Patriots (24-17-2 ATS, 58.5 percent)

Future Hall of Fame QB Tom Brady is 37-20-2 ATS (64.9 percent) all-time facing off against AFC foes in the month of December during the regular season. In Foxborough, the record improves to a lucrative 21-8 (72.4 percent) overall. For you teaser bettors, Brady has finished within 6 points of the spread in 46 of 59 contests (78.0 percent) regardless of location.

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Another W and another one for the record books.#ShouldersofGreatness | #GoPats pic.twitter.com/KKDs19ovHR

— New England Patriots (@Patriots) 26 de novembro de 2018
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T-7. Pittsburgh Steelers (24-17-1 ATS, 58.5 percent)

The Steelers have proven the cream of the crop in the AFC North over the last 10 years, once again leading the division headed into December with a 7-3-1 SU mark. They have taken care of business when heavy chalk in this span, covering two-thirds of all contests (10-5-1 ATS) laying 6.5 points or more on the NFL oddsboard. Watch this space when Pittsburgh travels to Oakland to take on the Raiders in Week 14.

6. Minnesota Vikings (25-17-1 ATS, 59.5 percent)

Gift the Vikings points at your own peril late in the season. They are 17-7 ATS (70.8 percent) catching points in the month of December since 2008. Current head coach Mike Zimmer is 20-11-1 ATS (64.5 percent) all-time as the underdog since taking over in 2014.

T-4. Arizona Cardinals (26-17-0 ATS, 60.5 percent)

Long-distance travel starts to wear on NFL teams in the month of December, and a trip to the Arizona desert late in the year is particularly taxing. The Cardinals are 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS hosting non-West Coast teams coming off a home game during the last decade. Arizona is topping a -1.6 average line by 6.8 points per game, including winning five of six outright spotted points. Visitors are averaging just 14.5 points. The Lions trigger this scenario in Week 14.

T-4. Indianapolis Colts (26-17-0 ATS, 60.5 percent)

Either Payton Manning or Andrew Luck has started under center in seven of the last 10 Decembers for the Colts. Surprise, opponents must have an efficient passing offense to compete against these arms. The duo is 20-3 SU and 17-6 ATS (73.9 percent) versus teams averaging fewer than 6.95 yards per pass for the season. Luck alone is 10-2 SU and 9-3 ATS (75.0 percent) in this situation. As of today, the Jaguars (Week 13), Cowboys (Week 15), and Titans (Week 17) fall under these conditions for the current campaign. Do not be shocked to see Indy finish 2018 strong, particularly against the spread.

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Jeff Saturday compares Andrew Luck to Peyton Manning: https://t.co/26G4ocVkSo pic.twitter.com/A4rAuguV6w

— Indianapolis Colts (@Colts) 19 de julho de 2016
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T-2. Cincinnati Bengals (26-15-2 ATS, 63.4 percent)

Marvin Lewis might be winless in seven playoff games, but he certainly does a heck of a job motivating and coaching the Bengals to the postseason during the last few weeks of the regular season. One angle to watch out for is avenging a divisional loss from earlier in the season. Lewis is 10-6 SU and 11-5 ATS (68.7 percent) all-time in December in same-season revenge opportunities against AFC North rivals, despite kicking off a 3.1 average underdog. Lewis gets two cracks this year: the Browns ((Week 16) and Steelers in the regular-season finale.

T-2. Green Bay Packers (26-15-1 ATS, 63.4 percent)

Two-time NFL MVP Aaron Rodgers has started all but eight of the Packers’ 42 games in December since 2008. He’s covered the spread in two-thirds of them (22-11-1 ATS). Couple this with the cold-weather confines of Lambeau Field, and Rodgers is 16-1 SU and 14-2-1 ATS (87.5 percent) at home. He is covering a -8.0 average line by 9.5 points per game. Remarkable.

1. Seattle Seahawks (27-15-1 ATS, 64.3 percent)

Pete Carroll took over the Seahawks in 2010 and has covered two-thirds (23-11-1 ATS) of all regular-season contests in the month of December. His reign is synonymous with strong defense. It dominates the betting market late in the season against average- to below-average scoring teams, going 17-5 SU and 16-5-1 ATS (76.2 percent) versus those posting 24.0 points per game or fewer for the season. As of publication, Week 13 and 15 matchups against the 49ers (21.7 ppg) and hosting the Cardinals (14.1 ppg) in the regular-season finale, signal this angle.

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