Best Last Minute Picks For NFL Week 12

Jay Pryce

Saturday, November 26, 2016 9:32 PM UTC

Saturday, Nov. 26, 2016 9:32 PM UTC

Looking for any last-minute NFL picks? Check out these best bets for Week 12, including plays in the Chargers-Texans, Chiefs-Broncos, and 49ers-Dolphins games.

Chargers (-1.5) vs Texans

Analysis: San Diego’s 29.2 points per game rank second in the NFL. Quarterback Philip Rivers and company, though, have squared off against defenses yielding less than the league average 23.5 points per game only four times all season; once on the road versus the Broncos. In that game, the Chargers posted only 19 points, aided by an interception return for the touchdown. Expect the high-flying unit to be grounded once again in Houston.

The Texans yield 16.4 points per game at NRG Stadium, and should generate enough offense for a victory against a porous San Diego defense. Houston is 10-2 SU under Bill O’Brien when scoring more than 20 points in a home contest. Dating back to last season, the Chargers have held just one team under 23 point in 13 road contests.

Expect Texans quarterback Brock Osweiler to have one of his better passing days. The Chargers have gifted more than 250 yards through the air in every road game this season. Osweiler is 3-0 when tossing for as many in a Texans uniform, the team average 24 points per game.

Free NFL Pick: Texans ML (+110)Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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 Chiefs vs Broncos (-3.5)

Analysis: The Chiefs’ offense is sputtering headed into this crucial division clash, scoring 19, 20, and 17 points respectively in their last three games. In reality, K.C. faced some cupcake defenses prior to that. They’ve only squared off against four teams allowing less than 27 points per game entering a contest, never scoring more than 20 in any. They average 15.8 points per game in this situation, the passing game putting up a paltry 217 yards per tilt. Denver yields 18.9 points per game, and its 5.6 yards per passing attempt is tied with the Vikings for most efficient in the NFL.

Moreover, K.C. doesn't carry the Broncos’ kryptonite: an efficient running game. Since the start of 2015, Denver is 1-4 SU and 0-4-1 ATS versus teams rushing better than 4.55 yards per carry. Against those picking up fewer, they’ve only dropped three outright. K.C. enters with a less-than-stellar rushing attack at 4.1 yards per attempt.

The hook on this line is troublesome, so buy it down to a field goal at -135 in favor of Denver. Most top-rated online sportsbooks will let you buy points. If unavailable, tease the Broncos -3.5 with the Texans bet above.

Free NFL Pick:  Broncos -3 (-135)Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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 49ers vs Dolphins (-7.5)

Analysis: The 49ers are quick to give up points on the road in 2016, allowing 17, 24, 17, and 20 in the first half respectively. The Dolphins, likewise, have gifted 10 points or more in all but one of its five at Hard Rock Stadium . Miami suffers against an efficient run game, allowing opponents posting at or better than 4.1 yards per carry to score 23 points or more in four games. This includes some anemic offenses, too, like the Browns and Jets. The OVER has hit in each. San Francisco enters right at the 4.1 league average. Look for fireworks early in Miami.

Free NFL Pick: OVER 22 1HBest Line Offered: at BetOnline

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