Behold Our Week 13 Early Sharp NFL Picks & Betting Preview

Jason Lake

Monday, November 30, 2015 7:26 PM UTC

Monday, Nov. 30, 2015 7:26 PM UTC

After securing key victories against public teams in Week 12, the Denver Broncos and Houston Texans are drawing plenty of sharp action on the Week 13 NFL odds board.

Jason's 2015 record as of Nov. 29: 45-40-2 ATS; 0-1 ML (-1.00 units); 25-31 Total


Tom Brady is not a happy man. On Sunday night, his New England Patriots fell 30-24 in overtime to our reigning BeeVee winners, the Denver Broncos. Not only did the Patriots cough up the cash as 2.5-point road faves, they also lost their first game of the season – and they lost TE Rob Gronkowski to a knee injury, although he might not miss any games going forward. Brady was particularly upset about the quality of the officiating on Sunday. Get in line, Tom.

There was a ton of sharp money on the Broncos in Week 12, and it looks like the wiseguys are staying on the Orange Crush bandwagon for their Week 13 NFL picks. Denver opened as a 4.5-point road chalk for Sunday's game (4:05 p.m. ET, CBS) against the San Diego Chargers; right off the bat, 97 percent of first responders jumped on the Broncos ATS, and 100 percent of moneyline bettors were on Denver at –225.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2837176, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,19,93,92,238,349], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

Keeping It 100
The early Week 13 action was even more lopsided for the Houston Texans. They're on a 4-0 SU and ATS run after beating the New Orleans Saints 24-6 as 3.5-point home faves, and our first consensus figures showed unanimous support for Houston as a 3.5-point road dog versus the Buffalo Bills on Sunday (1:00 p.m. ET, CBS). However, that enthusiastic consent turned into a slight lean toward the Texans when the NFL odds moved to Houston +3, and our expanded surveys have 58 percent of the action landing on Buffalo at press time.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2837175, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,19,93,92,238,349], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

Also generating massive early support: the Chicago Bears. They're coming off a big 17-13 win over the Green Bay Packers (–7.5 at home), and 93 percent of bettors couldn't wait to bag the Bears as 7-point home faves versus the San Francisco 49ers. Good luck trying to make heads or tails of the Niners and their betting value as big underdogs; last week, they got paid as 7.5-point puppies in a 19-13 loss to the visiting Arizona Cardinals. Our expanded consensus numbers show 96 percent of the action falling on Chicago for Sunday's matchup (1:00 p.m. ET, FOX).

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2837172, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,19,93,92,238,349], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

Before we wrap up our look at the early sharp action for Week 13, we have to ask you one question: Are you ready to bet on the Tennessee Titans? They've got a game coming up this Sunday (1:00 p.m. ET, CBS) against the Jacksonville Jaguars, who were doing very well for themselves until losing 31-25 to the Chargers (+5 away). Tennessee also lost 24-21 to the Oakland Raiders (–1 away), but 95 percent of bettors were willing to take the Titans when they opened as 2.5-point home dogs against the Jags. God bless the AFC South.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2837167, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,19,93,92,238,349], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

comment here