Bears vs. Jets Monday Night Football Opening Odds

Jason Lake

Tuesday, September 16, 2014 5:03 PM UTC

Tuesday, Sep. 16, 2014 5:03 PM UTC

Fresh off a monumental comeback win on Sunday Night Football, Jay Cutler and the Chicago Bears have opened as very slight road dogs on the NFL odds in their Monday Night Football matchup against the New York Jets. 



Jason’s Record After Week 1: 1-4 ATS, 0-1 Totals

Profit: minus-6.6 units

You can’t trust what you hear on the news these days. Going into last Sunday night’s contest against the San Francisco 49ers, WR Brandon Marshall (ankle) and WR Alshon Jeffrey (hamstring) were both officially listed as questionable, and we were told to be even more skeptical about their chances. Instead, both players suited up for the Bears (+7 away), and they were instrumental in Chicago’s come-from-behind 28-20 victory.

Not that we’re complaining – we had the Bears in this matchup. And it’s good to know Marshall and Jeffrey are healthy enough to play in Week 3, when they face the New York Jets on Monday Night Football (8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN). Chicago opened as a pick ‘em (+100) at the New Meadowlands; as we go to press, most of the online sportsbooks on our NFL odds board have the Bears at +1 and the standard –110 vig, a slightly worse price for the visitors. Yet our first consensus reports show 55 percent support for the Jets. What gives?

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Marshall Marshall Marshall
Don’t panic. When it comes to early consensus reports, it can take a while to gather enough data to publish reliable numbers, and the Bears made it more difficult by playing Sunday night. In this case, our first report came out Monday around lunchtime on the East Coast. Other reports on Monday’s morning action have most of it landing on the Bears, which explains the NFL lines edging in the other direction.

It’s easy to see why people would want to bet on Chicago this week. That was a very strong comeback against San Fran: three unanswered touchdowns in the fourth quarter, two of them to Marshall. It’s as if head coach Marc Trestman and QB Jay Cutler flipped a switch and decided to let Marshall (6-foot-4, 230 pounds) and Jeffery (6-foot-3, 215 pounds) use their size to bully the Niners secondary. TE Martellus Bennett (6-foot-6, 265 pounds) also got in his licks with seven catches and a TD on eight targets.

Funny how everyone loves Cutler when the game plan is working. He was under the microscope after the Bears came out flat in Week 1 against the Buffalo Bills (+7 away), throwing a pair of interceptions in a 23-20 overtime loss. But let’s not ignore the good things Cutler did against Buffalo, connecting on 34 of his 49 passes for a pair of TDs, one to Marshall and one to Bennett.


Tenderfoot Time Out
Of course, we can’t ignore the role Chicago’s defense played in that comeback – nor the injuries to safety Chris Conte (shoulder), DT Jay Ratliff (concussion) and especially CB Charles Tillman (triceps, out for season). This could be why the Jets started getting the majority of the betting action after the early morning wood for Chicago. We’re not quite sure how else to explain it after the Jets started the season 1-1 SU and 0-1-1 ATS. Market size?

Maybe it was the competitive performance New York mustered against the Green Bay Packers on Sunday. The Jets were up 21-3 before losing the game 31-24 as 7-point road dogs; New York appeared to have tied the game late, but a time out was called from the sidelines just before Jeremy Kerley’s would-be touchdown catch. Whoopsie.

Otherwise, the Jets haven’t played very well this year. They’ve got a minus-17.1 SRS (Simple Rating System) after two games, dropping the cash to the lowly Oakland Raiders (+6.5 away) in Week 1. They also lost WR Eric Decker to a hamstring injury in Week 2; his status for Monday night is up in the air as we go to press. Chicago (plus-44.7 SRS, tops in the NFC) might not need its best defensive effort to beat the NFL odds in Week 3.

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