The Bears won last week to keep their slim chances of making the playoffs alive. Fortunately for them, they’re in the NFC, which is considerably easier to get to the playoffs than the AFC this season. 538 has them at a 31% of getting there, and a win here would help them keep up with the Cardinals, who currently hold the 7th seed.
Chicago Bears vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Sunday, December 27th, 2020 – 1:00 PM ET at Bank of TIAA Bank Field
Can Trubisky Keep up His Good Form?
Remarkably the Chicago Bears managed to find someone who’s played worse than the much-maligned Mitchell Trubisky, and the games that Nick Foles played for them have made Trubisky look like an actual NFL quarterback.
In fact, Mitch hasn’t been bad when it comes to racking up points with the Bears this year. He was the man involved at the start of the season winning his first three games. The minimum they’ve scored when he’s been starting was 17 points in a win against the Giants. They’re averaging 28 points a game with him at the helm, and of the 7 games that have gone over the best sportsbooks' totals, he’s played 5, including last week.
It’s safe to say he should do fairly well this week against a Jaguars team who just managed to sneak the #1 draft pick after the Jets won. They rank 32nd against the pass this year, so it’s a good spot.
Do the Jags Want to Win?
No, no they do not. Another loss here further cementing the #1 pick for the 2021 draft would be ideal for them as they’re in need of a QB after the test cases of Jake Luton, Gardner Minshew, and Mike Glennon have proven that they definitely aren’t set at QB. Minshew is the best of the three of them, and he has done well for his draft slot. Minshew will probably be a career backup, so he’ll be a rich man still.
They’ve got some decent talent on offense for Trevor Lawrence. DJ Chark is highly thought of, Laviska Shenault has sparked in his rookie season, Keenan Cole hasn’t been terrible, and James Robinson has been brilliant as an undrafted rookie sitting 3rd in rushing yards with over 1,000 as well as being a useful player in the passing game when required as well.
How Is This One Going to Go?
The Bears have revived their season since Bill Lazor took over the play-calling, and they brought Trubisky back in. It probably helps that they’ve been playing some weak defenses and that David Montgomery has got going in the run game with some big games in recent weeks. He's averaging 108 yards per game and has 5 TDs over the last month.
The Bears have two modes, get out to a big lead early on, or they tend to come back late in games with some big 4th quarters, and that’s borne out in their stats this year. They’ve scored 110 points in 2nd quarters and 123 in 4th quarters, but just 24 in 3rd quarters this year.
I think they get out to a big lead here, allow the defense to get some rest, and take care of the Jaguars. Unfortunately, I can’t take them giving them away 7.5 points. So I’ll take the over with the best betting sites instead. They can score 30 points themselves, and that’s well on the way to the 48 point total.
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