Bears vs. Chargers NFL Picks: Bet Chicago +4.5 at Reeling San Diego

Jason Lake

Saturday, November 7, 2015 11:22 PM UTC

Saturday, Nov. 7, 2015 11:22 PM UTC

It's been a rough season for both the Chicago Bears and the San Diego Chargers, but San Diego's injuries are enough to make the Bears a viable NFL pick for Monday night.

Jason's 2015 record as of Nov. 6: 27-21-2 ATS; 0-1 ML (-1.00 units); 18-27 Total

The San Diego Chargers are the gift that just keeps on giving. We've made five NFL picks involving the Chargers this year at a tasty 4-0-1 ATS; you might recall the time San Diego won our coveted BeeVee Award back in Week 6, then got paid as a 10.5-point road dog on the closing line in a 27-20 loss to the Green Bay Packers. Otherwise, we've been fading the Bolts with gusto.

We're not the only ones. San Diego will be on Monday Night Football (8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN) this week, hosting the Chicago Bears in a matchup that might draw lower ratings than the World Series of Poker (8:00 p.m. ET, ESPN2). The Chargers are 4-point favorites on our NFL odds board at press time, but while the home side is pulling in just under 55 percent of bettors, the Bears are getting nearly 60 percent of the action.


Allen Wrench
We're sticking to our game plan here at the home office. San Diego (2-6 SU, 3-5 ATS) has been plagued by injuries on the offensive line, and now the rest of the offense is starting to collapse. WR Keenan Allen (lacerated kidney) is out for the season, and TE Ladarius Green (ankle) is doubtful for Monday after showing up for Thursday's practice in a protective boot. One good piece of news for Bolts fans: TE Antonio Gates (knee) looks ready to roll after putting in a limited practice on Thursday.

This is still an absolute mess. The Chargers offense has been potent enough to rank No. 10 in efficiency through Week 8, but that's divided up between the No. 6-ranked pass attack and the No. 30-ranked ground game. Now they've lost their top threat in Allen (67 catches, four TDs) and their Gates insurance in Green (27 catches, four TDs). Throw in all those injuries on defense, plus the franchise's potential move to Los Angeles, and it's not hard to imagine this team folding up like a tent the rest of the way.


Aches and Pains
The Chicago Bears (2-5 SU, 3-4 ATS) aren't likely to win any Super Bowl anytime soon, either, but their situation is different. This is Year One under head coach John Fox, and the team has already made moves toward the future, trading linebackers Jared Allen and Jonathan Bostic for draft picks and cutting DT Jeremiah Ratliff.

It's a work in progress. Chicago has its own injury problems, including RB Matt Forte, who could be out for the year with a sprained knee. But things don't look nearly as messed up in the Windy City as they do in San Diego, and the Bears are getting more than a field goal on the road this week. We'll buy that for a dollar.

NFL Pick: Take the Bears +4.5 (–105) at Pinnacle

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