Bears vs. Packers Same Game Parlay Picks: Can Green Bay Cover Aggressive Line?
The Green Bay Packers have won six straight over the Chicago Bears at Lambeau Field. Could upheaval on offense for Green Bay lead to a different result this time? Here are our Week 2 Bears-Packers same-game parlay picks.
The Bears and Packers are coming off opposite Week 1 narratives, but the history of this series at Lambeau Field demands rightful consideration for oddsmakers. Can the Bears overcome history in this matchup?
Here are my same-game parlay picks for the Week 2 Sunday night matchup between the Bears and Packers (odds via FanDuel Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
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Bears vs. Packers Same Game Parlay Picks
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Bears vs. Packers Same Game Parlay Predictions
Bears +10 (-110) ★★★
In the first example of life without Davante Adams, the Packers offense scored just seven points in a season-opening loss at Minnesota. In Week 2, Green Bay hosts a Chicago defense that held San Francisco to 10 points in the puddle that was Soldier Field last Sunday.
Aaron Rodgers still owns Chicago, so the Packers should win this game. But this isn’t the same team that went 7-2 against the spread at home last season. The offense we saw from Green Bay last week has a long way to go before it blows out any professional team by double-digits. And the Bears defense just allowed 204 yards of total offense to Trey Lance and Co. - the best mark in the NFL from Week 1, albeit in poor weather conditions.
Chicago was 3-10 ATS as an underdog in 2021, but as a road underdog, the Bears were a more respectable 3-5 ATS. If Chicago can keep Green Bay looking out of sync offensively, it’s going to be difficult for the Packers to cover this aggressive line. DraftKings offers the Bears at +9.5, so we prefer FanDuel (+10) for the parlay.
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Under 41.5 (-110) ★★★★
It’s hard to imagine Sunday night being much of a shootout. We’ve covered the Packers’ deficiencies. The Bears scored 19 points in their win over the 49ers, but the Justin Fields-led attack trailed 7-0 at halftime and looked hapless for the majority of the game.
The Vikings' passing offense looked good against the Packers' defense in Week 1, but Minnesota still posted just 23 points. Fields is not Kirk Cousins, and with all due respect to Bears wideout Darnell Mooney, the Bears don’t have a Justin Jefferson in the receiving game. The Packers’ zone defense should be more effective against the Bears this week.
Rodgers is the wild card with his ability to push the ball downfield, but without trusted weapons in his receiving corps, it’s hard to envision the type of quick-strike offense that would push this game Over the total.
Jones anytime touchdown scorer (-120) ★★★★
Running backs Aaron Jones and A.J. Dillon operated as two of the more effective pieces of a struggling Green Bay offense last week. Dillon out-carried Jones 10 to 5 and also got more work in the passing game, but I expect regression to the mean for Jones’ opportunities this week.
Jones is the most proven skill player at Rodgers’ disposal. After a disappointing opening performance, I expect the Packers to acknowledge that by looking his way more frequently. Though Dillon might be the more prototypical bruising back - and he got the goal line work in Week 1 - Jones caught 52 passes and six touchdowns last season.
Given his versatile skill set, I expect the Packers to draw up red-zone opportunities for Jones on Sunday night. This wager becomes even more of a smash play if Packers receiver Allen Lazard misses the game due to a lingering injury.
Combined Odds: Bears +10 (-110) + Under 41.5 (-110) + Jones anytime touchdown scorer (-120) = +770
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Bears-Packers picks made 9/17/2022 at 5:15 p.m. ET.
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