Backing Three Solid and Spaced-Out Road Favorites in Our NFL Week 14 Parlay

Kevin Stott

Wednesday, December 6, 2017 2:27 PM UTC

Wednesday, Dec. 6, 2017 2:27 PM UTC

You better watch out, you better not cry, you better not pout, I’m telling you why, Santa Claus is coming to town and he loves to bet parlays like fat kids like to eat chocolate cake, so let’s concoct a little peppermint-flavored 3-teamer for Old Saint Nick for NFL Week 14.

Thursday, December 7, 2017Parlay Leg 1—New Orleans Saints -1 vs Atlanta Falcons

We’ll cautiously start this 3-team Parlay in the NFC South and back the now small Road Favorite Saints in Atlanta on Thursday Night Football action in a game which has seen a Favorite-flip with Matt Ryan and the host Falcons opening up as small 2-point Favorites on Sunday at Offshore line-originators BetOnline and BookMaker and having now (early Tuesday) already been bet to as high as 2-point Underdogs on heavy New Orleans money right now. So a strong 4-point Line move on Drew Brees and the Saints (9-3 SU, 4-2 on Road) who are battling the Vikings, Eagles and Rams for Home-field Advantage in the NFC.

Legendary WR Julio Jones and Atlanta (7-5 SU) will be playing for their Playoff lives with the Panthers and these Saints both ahead of them in the NFC South standings so expect the Falcons to come hard and fast at The Benz where they really have established no Home-field edge yet, going 3-3 SU in their first 6 Regular Season games in the new building. Old buildings hold emotional edges in their hallowed walls and have the stickiness of spilled overpriced beer on their floors. New buildings have WiFi and Kiss Cam and half of the attendees looking down at their bleeding Smartphones. We pay oh-so much to drive oh-so so far to go to the game to simply glance up at it occasionally.

The Trends here show the Saints are 12-2 ATS their L14 against the NFC South, 9-3 ATS the L12 vs. the NFC, 8-1 ATS their L9 Road games vs. Teams with Winning Home Records, 13-3 ATS the L16 on the Road and New Orleans heads in a perfect 3-0 SU against the division this year and are on an 8-2 ATS tear, while The Dirty Birds are close to flying south for the Winter, sporting a 3-6 ATS record its L9 games. Taking Mark Ingram, Michael Thomas, Ted Ginn Jr. and the Who Dats here as they will be motivated by the fear of all of the NFC teams having great years as well as Carolina just 1 game back in the NFC South. These two will meet again in The Big Easy on Christmas Eve and footballs will be thrown.

PREDICTED FINAL SCORE: Saints 27 Falcons 24Free NFL Picks: Saints -1Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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Sunday December 10, 2017Parlay Leg 2—Minnesota Vikings -3 vs Carolina Panthers

The second team in this 3-team Week 14 NFL Parlay is the Vikings and the early Wiseguy cabbage has been on Minnesota driving the line up to as high as -3 (Tuesday) after opening at (Minnesota minus) 1 with a Consensus of 67.7% currently behind the Purple People Eaters against the host Panthers for this Week 14 NFC clash from Charlotte. And who can blame them with QB Case Keenum stepping in like Superman to rescue Lois Lane running the Offense and Everson Griffen and the Defense playing superb as well. The “He sees you when you’re sleeping” part is pretty creepy though when you think about it, Ho ho ho?

Minnesota is also 4-1 SU on the Road, having W3 straight after Stefon Diggs and the Vikings went into Atlanta in Week 13 and showed the Falcons wassup, winning 14-9 in a street-fight in The Benz as Minnesota won its 7th straight ATS and 8th straight SU. The Trends here show that Minnesota Head Coach Mike Zimmer NFC North-leading Vikings are 3-1 ATS the L4 against Cam Newton and the Panthers with Keenum, Adam Thielen and Kyle Rudolph all clicking and Carolina (4-1 L5 SU overall) possibly coming into this one a bit desperate, siding with D-stingy Vikings in the Tar Heel State. Bells on bobtails ring, making spirits bright.

PREDICTED FINAL SCORE: Vikings 22 Panthers 13Free NFL Pick: Vikings -3Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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Monday, December 11, 2017Parlay Leg 3—New England Patriots -11 vs Miami Dolphins

The defending Super Bowl champion Patriots head to the Sunshine State in Week 14 to face the now out-of-it Dolphins in a Monday Night Football Week 14 AFC East matchup from South Florida in a game with meaning probably only to the visitors from New England who are fighting with Ben Roethlisberger the red-hot Steelers. Eighteenth-year Head Coach Bill Belichick, future Hall of Fame QB Tom Brady and the Patriots are 34-15-2 ATS their L51 overall and have been the best team on which to bet in the NFL since 2003, going an impressive 155-105-7 ATS, or 3.1% better than the next closest team. Time don’t lie. And we a witnessing a dynasty, probably the first in professional sports since Michael Jordan, Scottie Pippen, Dennis Rodman and the Chicago Bulls won 6 NBA Championships in 6 attempts from 1991 through 1998—the only six titles the Eastern Conference Central Division franchise actually has.

The Patriots are the final pick in this Parlay as they are playing as good as anyone right now in the NFL, covering ATS 7 times in this current 8-game Win Streak and New England is a profitable 13-3 ATS its L16 Road games overall, 5-0 ATS its L5 games in December, 9-0 ATS its L9 on Grass while Miami is 0-8 ATS its L8 on Monday Night Football but 4-0 ATS its L4 December games. New England is a wonderful 5-1 ATS in the Road this season after going 7-1 ATS on the Road in the 2016 Regular Season while Miami is 2-2 ATS at Home this year and will come in feeling good after QB Jay Cutler, WR Jarvis Landry, WR Kenny Stills and The Fish played their best game of the season in Week 13 in a 35-9 pasting of the struggling Broncos as Miami snapped a 5-game Losing Streak which pretty much ended their season.

With Brady able to effectively work everyone into the Patriots Offense, missing key cogs like Julian Edelman and Rob Gronkowski isn’t as big of a thing as it would be with other teams losing key Skill guys with Dion Lewis, Danny Amendola, Brandin Cooks, Chris Hogan, James White, Martellus Bennett and Rex Burkhead all ready to assume their roles. And Possession is nine-tenths of the law. New England probably wins big here, probably close to the 35-14 scoreline which saw in Week 17 in this spot in 2016. Do Reindeers really know how to fly?

PREDICTED FINAL SCORE: Patriots 33 Dolphins 13Free NFL Pick: Patriots -11Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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