Back Lions vs. Dolphins Week 10 ATS NFL Pick

Jeff Grant

Friday, November 7, 2014 4:26 PM UTC

Friday, Nov. 7, 2014 4:26 PM UTC

Jim Caldwell has had a calming influence on the sideline in the Motor City, which makes the Lions an attractive home favorite over the Dolphins in Week 10.

Miami has won and covered the number in three consecutive games, which is important to consider when making your NFL picks, as it comes off a 37-0 blowout victory over the San Diego Chargers as three-point home favorites.

The Dolphins have benefited greatly from a soft schedule when playing away from Sun Life Stadium—playing the likes of Buffalo, Chicago, Jacksonville and Oakland.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the franchise is 6-3 SUATS as road underdogs of three or fewer points, with the UNDER going 6-2-1 in that situation.


London Fog?
Detroit picked up an improbable 22-21 come-from-behind victory over the Atlanta Falcons as 3.5-point neutral-site favorites in London Oct. 26, but it now faces a major challenge in carrying over that momentum after enjoying a bye week.

Lions first year head coach Jim Caldwell has done a tremendous job in leading the team to a 6-2 SU and 4-4 ATS mark, which can’t be tossed aside when looking over the live NFL odds at SBR, as he hasn’t had star wide receiver Calvin Johnson on the field for much of the 2014 campaign.

During his first go around as the main man on an NFL sideline, Caldwell led the Colts to SUATS wins off the bye in his first two opportunities of a three-year stint.  


Impressive Numbers
The Dolphins need to be respected in this non-conference matchup, as they lead the league in allowing just 4.68 yards per play defensively, which has led to a third-place ranking overall on that side of the ball.

Miami quarterback Ryan Tannehill will need to continue playing at a high level to match Matthew Stafford on the other sideline, as he comes off a brilliant performance in establishing a career-best 125.6 passer rating.


Big Game
The Lions have a great opportunity to seize control of the NFC North division with a victory in this spot, while NFL handicappers will notice this will be the lone game at Ford Field in a span of five weeks.

Stafford should benefit greatly in the expected return of both running back Reggie Bush and Johnson offensively, while the defense has an opportunity to hold its fifth opponent to under 300 yards this season.


I’m going to recommend that readers back the Lions as one of their top Sunday football selections, as they’ve gone 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a bye week.

Free NFL Pick:  Detroit Lions -2.5 at Pinnacle


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