Back Home Dog Giants vs. Colts for Monday Night Football Picks

Jeff Grant

Thursday, October 30, 2014 4:22 PM GMT

Thursday, Oct. 30, 2014 4:22 PM GMT

New York will dress up as home underdogs for the first time in 2014, which provides the franchise plenty of betting value against Indianapolis on Monday Night Football.

Coming Off a Loss
Indianapolis had its five-game win streak snapped in suffering a 51-34 defeat to the Pittsburgh Steelers as five-point road favorites Sunday, which is important to consider when making your NFL betting predictions, but it has been known to bounce back in a big way since 2012.

Colts star quarterback Andrew Luck is 11-1 SUATS in his career in games following a loss since being drafted as the No. 1 overall pick out of Stanford, with the one defeat in that situation coming in Week 2 this season.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the franchise is 0-2 SUATS when being featured on this primetime telecast, with no edge in terms of the betting total.

 

Hitting the Reset Button
New York’s bye week came at the perfect time, as it suffered back-to-back losses to NFC East division rivals, including a 31-21 defeat to the Dallas Cowboys as 4.5-point road underdogs on Oct. 19.  

The Giants have won two of their three games at MetLife Stadium this year, which can’t be ignored when looking over the NFL odds, especially since they’ve gone 4-0 SUATS at home on Mondays with a losing record.

Since the start of the 2012 campaign, the team is 4-3 SUATS when playing off a loss against a divisional foe.

 

Banged Up Defense
The Colts allowed Ben Roethlisberger to throw for 522 yards and six touchdowns last week, as many of their key contributors on defense were missing in action at Heinz Field.

Indianapolis is already playing the entire season without the services of top pass rusher Robert Mathis, while its secondary may be without its top cover corner Vontae Davis due to a knee injury.

 

Don’t Forget About Eli
Luck is certainly going to receive most of the media attention in this non-conference matchup, but Eli Manning has thrown for 14 touchdowns and five interceptions in coordinator Ben McAdoo’s new offensive system.

The Giants signal-caller has won both of his home starts on Monday Night Football, while he’s completed 69 percent of his passes for 434 yards and four touchdowns in his last two efforts in the Big Apple.

 

Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Giants as one of their NFL picks, as they’ve won their last six games when coming off a bye in outright fashion.

NFL Picks:  New York Giants +3.5 at Pinnacle

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