Back 49ers -7 vs. Bears with Week 2 NFL Picks

Nikki Adams

Thursday, September 11, 2014 7:52 PM GMT

San Francisco 49ers are set to debut Levi Stadium at the weekend to a nationally televised audience. Can the 49ers romp to a second straight victory at the expense of the Chicago Bears on Sunday? Here’s a preview complete with our betting analysis and NFL free picks. 

 

Chicago Bears (0-1, 0-0 away)
Chicago Bears were one of several favorites in opening week that were stunned, chucking their home opener 23-20 in overtime to 7-point underdogs Buffalo Bills. Following that disappointment, they now have to come through as the 7-point underdogs at the expense of San Francisco 49ers, who romped to victory rather easily over Dallas Cowboys, all while cashing in as the 3.5-point favorites. That is going to be quite the big ask.

The Bears collected more total offense yards than the Bills (427 to 360), more than twice as many passing yards (341 to 167) and had nearly twice as many first downs (29 to 15), but they still lost the game 23-20 in overtime, largely down to costly turnovers with which they shot themselves in the foot.

 

San Francisco 49ers
The San Francisco 49ers unapologetically disembowelled the Dallas Cowboys last Sunday, going to an impressive 28-17 victory that featured a quick strike offense nobody expected and an opportunistic 49ers defense that picked Romo three times, ran a fumble for a touchdown and delivered a lot of short field plays all afternoon for Kaepernick to capitalise on. Of course, let’s not forget, they also had a lot of help from a woeful Dallas defense and a rusty Tony Romo, who made a lot of bonehead plays under pressure and made pick pocketing look like child’s play. 

 

Chicago Bears vs. San Francisco 49ers Tips and Picks:

NFL Betting Line:
Chicago Bears: +240, +7.0 -115 O/U 48.5
San Francisco: -300, -7.0 -105 O/U 48.5
Venue: Levi Stadium
Game Time: 8:30 PM EST, Sunday September 14. 2014

There’s a debate to be had about how good the Niners really were last Sunday. Were they as good as the score suggested, particularly the first quarter score that read 21-3 San Francisco? Or were they only as good as the Dallas Cowboys were bad? There’s a difference, but it’s too soon to provide an empirical answer to that debate.

With most of the action coming down the wire going to the Niners, it’s clear the betting public is buying what the Niners are selling. They were good, and are going to be just as good (if not better) at the expense of the Bears that disappointed them greatly. As a result, the NFL odds are hovering on anywhere between -6.5 to -7-points on the 49ers and on totals ranging from 48 up to 49 points, with no danger of those numbers coming down at all.

 

Are the 49ers Better Than the Bears by More Than a Touchdown?
We certainly think so.

How this could prove the correct assessment is if Jay Cutler doesn’t protect the ball and causes costly turnovers that the 49ers defense will be only too happy to lap up. Case and point: is the defense practically winning the game for Niners over Dallas last week. Let’s not forget, the last time these two sides met, the Niners embarrassed the Bears 32-7 at home (2012).

Bears’ run defense is atrocious. Last season, it gave up 161 yards per game, which was the worst in the league. On the strength of one game, it doesn’t look to be on the mend as they gave up 193 yards rushing to the Bills. Another things that has to be concerning is that for all those total offensive yards they posted against the Bills, they could only put up 20 points. Total yards has them 4th in the league’s offensive charts, but compare that to the three teams ahead Atlanta, Pittsburgh and New Orleans, all of which posted more than 400 yards and no less than 34 points on the board. That has to be concerning.

 

NFL Betting Verdict
If San Francisco take the rich vein of form they began the season on, they should beat the Bears handily at home. Bears offense seems to fire blanks mostly while the defense remains porous, two sides of the ball the Niners should capitalise on to both win SU as the favourites at -300 and cover as the 7-point favourites for our NFL picks.

NFL Picks: San Francisco -300 and -7.0 (-105) at Bookmaker

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