ATS Trends Make Cardinals Top Choice for Thursday's NFL Picks

Jeff Grant

Thursday, December 11, 2014 1:25 PM GMT

Thursday, Dec. 11, 2014 1:25 PM GMT

St. Louis is playing its best football of the season, but it shouldn’t be laying more than a field goal in the NFL betting odds against Arizona’s stop unit Thursday night.

A Big Game
Arizona is hoping to maintain its one-game lead over the Seattle Seahawks in the NFC West division standings, which can’t be ignored when making your NFL Week 15 picks, as it looks to build off a 17-14 victory over the Kansas City Chiefs as 2.5-point home underdogs Sunday.

The Cardinals registered a solid 31-14 win over the Rams as seven-point home favorites in the first meeting this year, as they won the statistical battle by a 335-244 margin, but No. 1 signal-caller Carson Palmer suffered a season-ending injury in that matchup.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the squad is 14-15 SU and 19-10 ATS as underdogs, with the UNDER going 19-9-1 in that situation.

 

Throwing Up Zeros 
St. Louis has recorded only the 15th back-to-back shutouts since the merger, which is important to consider when looking over the NFL Odds, but it’s important to point out that those victories came against the Oakland Raiders and Washington Redskins.

Rams defensive end Robert Quinn has totaled 10.5 sacks on the year thus far, but the pass rush as a whole has really come alive in the past eight games, with the group getting to opposing quarterbacks 34 times over that span.

Sports bettors will find that the franchise is 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS after putting together a win streak of two or more games since the start of the 2012-13 NFL campaign.

 

Overlooked?
Surprisingly enough, the Cardinals defense is being overlooked in this primetime matchup due to the recent success of their opponent on that side of the ball, but this group has limited foes to an average of 16.5 points in its last six affairs.

Patrick Peterson is the main player to handicap, as he’s tallied five of his 14 picks in this rivalry, while Arizona also hopes that fellow cornerback Antonio Cromartie can play despite a torn tendon in his ankle.

 

A Tall Hill to Climb
The Rams have gone 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS with journeyman quarterback Shaun Hill under center since Nov. 16, as he’s managed to connect on 62 percent of his throwing attempts for six scores and just two interceptions.

Hill has taken great care of the football during the team’s current win streak, but he’s never had three consecutive starts without a turnover in his career.

 

Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Cardinals as one of their NFL Picks, as they’ve gone 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog in this series.

Free NFL Pick: Arizona Cardinals +4.5 at Pinnacle

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