ATS Betting Trends to Consider Before Placing Week 6 NFL Picks

Nikki Adams

Monday, October 12, 2015 8:30 PM UTC

Monday, Oct. 12, 2015 8:30 PM UTC

Week 6 is on the cards with 13 games trading on the NFL odds board. Before hitting up your choice sports betting shop online, check out the guiding NFL betting trends we’re spotting.

Falcons vs. Saints
The Falcons are 5-0 SU on the season and 4-1 ATS with a 10-point winning margin on average. They are 3-0 at home and 2-0 on the road, the latter of which include wins over the Giants and Cowboys with a 7.5-point winning margin. Given the Falcons were abysmal in 2013 and 2014, winning just ten games over two season, looking at past trends is going to be misleading. For instance, trends such as a 6-12 SU on the road in their last 18 away games. This is a different team with a different coaching staff and overall team mentality. As such, 2015 trends are the most relevant and should be solely used when making your NFL picks.

On the flipside Saints are 1-4 SU and 2-3 ATS with an 8-point losing margin on average. The Saints have been trending negatively over the last few seasons and nothing in 2015 suggests that is going to change. They are 1-1 SU and ATS at home, which includes a loss to the Bucs and a win over the injury-ridden Cowboys. Hardly a ringing endorsement of their NFL odds.


Cardinals vs. Steelers
The Cardinals lead the AFC West with a 4-1 SU and ATS record, which includes a whopping 20-point winning margin on average. On the road, the Cardinals are 2-0 SU and ATS with a whopping 25-point winning margin. Since 2014, the Cardinals are 6-5 SU and 7-4 ATS away with a 2.5-point winning margin.

Steelers are yet to play MNF. Check back for updated NFL betting trends.


Bears vs. Lions
The Chicago Bears are riding a two-game winning streak having beaten the Raiders and Chiefs in succession. Both wins were narrow, but morale-boosting nonetheless for John Fox and his Bears after opening with three straight losses. Overall, the Bears are 2-3 SU and ATS. These records include a large 11.2-point losing margin down to losses to the Packers, Cardinals and Seahawks –albeit the last of the triplet of losses was down to Jimmy Clausen at quarterback. Under Jay Cutler, the Bears are effectively 2-2 SU and ATS with a 7.5-point margin of defeat.

The Lions are after benching Matthew Stafford in week 5 and claiming their fifth straight loss of the season. Last year’s playoff contenders, Detroit Lions’ fall from grace is shocking all and sundry. Detroit is 4-1 SU against the Bears in their last five games and the total has gone OVER in five of the last six meetings in Detroit. Whether those past NFL betting trends hold water this coming week remains to be seen. They are largely down to a Detroit Lions team that went 18-14 over the last two seasons, during which they swept the Bears.


Bengals vs. Bills
Bengals are 5-0 SU and ATS going into week 6 of the NFL season, marking their best start to the season under Andy Dalton. They are 4-0-1 ATS with a 9.4-point winning margin at the expense of the Raiders, Chargers, Ravens, Chiefs and Seahawks – the latter of which was the most impressive as the erased a 17-point deficit to take the win in OT. This season they are 2-0 ATS with a 12-point winning margin. Since 2014, the Bengals are 12-8-2 ATS with a 2.4-point winning margin, but just 6-5 ATS with a 0.8-point winning margin.

The Bills are 3-2 SU and ATS with a 3.8-point winning margin on average this season, which includes a 1-2 SU and ATS mark at home with a 3-point margin of defeat. Some allowance must be made for one of the losses that came against the Patriots, only the Super Bowl defending champions and a side many are touting to return to the Super Bowl this season if early form were any indication. Buffalo is 6-1 SU in its last seven home meetings with the Bengals and the total has gone UNDER in 10 of Buffalo’s last 13 games.


Broncos vs. Browns
The Broncos are 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS on the season with a 6.8-point margin of victory. The Browns are 2-3 SU and 3-2 ATS this season with 2.8-point margin of defeat this season. Interestingly, Cleveland have cashed on the OVER in all five games this season while Denver are just 1-4 in O/U betting.  That said, Broncos are 5-1 SU in their last six road games and the total has gone UNDER in five of their last seven outings. Cleveland are 0-5 SU in their last five meetings with Denver. It’s worth mentioning, Josh McCown finished atop the leaders list in week 5 NFL betting with the most fantasy points behind unprecedented numbers: throwing for 457 yards in the 33-30 win over the Ravens. In the past three weeks, he’s thrown for 1,157 yards, which includes 300-plus yards per game.


Texans vs. Jaguars
The Texans are 1-4 SU and ATS with a 7.6-point margin of defeat and a two-game losing streak. Their run of poor form includes a 3-1-1 mark in O/U betting. Against divisional rivals, the Texans have the edge in recent meetings with a 7-2 SU record in the last nine. It remains to be seen whether that trend holds true in week 6 as the Texans failed to defeat an Andrew-Luckless Colts in week 5. The only team they’ve beaten so far is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

The Jaguars are tied at the bottom of the AFC South pile with the Texans on a 1-4 SU mark, but they are 2-3 ATS with a 10.4-point losing margin. The total has gone UNDER in four of the last six meetings in Houston, but the Jaguars are 3-2 in O/U betting this season.


Chiefs vs. Vikings
Shockingly, the Chiefs are 1-4 SU going into week 5 NFL betting, performing well under pre-season expectations. Last weekend, the Chiefs had a chance to return to the win column at the expense of the hapless Bears – indeed, they were the popular NFL pick in many NFL betting circles – but they let the opportunity slip through their fingers. The Chiefs are 1-2 SU and ATS on the road with a 6-point losing margin.

The Vikings are coming off a bye in week 5 NFL betting. They are 2-2 SU and 3-1 ATS with a 1.8-point winning margin. At home, they are a perfect 2-0 SU and ATS with a staggering 13.5-point winning margin, thanks to wins over the Lions and Chargers. They’ll be looking to make it three in a row at home against a Chiefs side that is wholly off form and colour going into week 6 NFL betting, and one has to fancy their chances when contemplating NFL picks, despite past trends that reveal a distinct edge for the Chiefs, who are 4-1 SU in their last five games against the Vikings.


Dolphins vs. Titans
The Dolphins are coming off a bye week, in which the organisation underwent wholesale  changes the coaching staff. As such, NFL bettors should trend carefully when considering NFL betting trends. The Dolphins are looking to turnaround a 1-3 SU and ATS start on the season, highlighted by a 9-point losing margin, on the road when they take on the Tennessee Titans. The Dolphins are 2-4 SU in their last six trips to Nashville, but 8-4 SU in their last 12 games when playing the Titans.

Titans are 1-3 SU but 2-2 ATS with a 2.8-point winning margin. They are coming off a narrow 14-13 loss to the Bills in week 5 NFL betting, which saw them cover as the 3-point home chalk. Titans are still winless at home with Marcus Mariota and 1-1 ATS with a 1.5-point losing margin. The total has gone UNDER in four of the last five home games but they are 3-1 in O/U betting this season.


Redskins vs. Jets
The Washington Redskins are 2-3 SU and 3-2 ATS this season, highlighted by a narrow 1.4-point losing margin. In O/U betting, they are 1-4. Against the Jets the Redskins are 4-1 SU in the last five meetings. The Jets are coming off a Bye week, which followed a win over the Dolphins at Wembley Stadium in London and saw them improve to 3-1 SU and ATS on the season with a 10-point winning margin. Jets are 1-1 SU at home and 2-0 SU on the road. As home team, they are 1-1 ATS with a 7-point winning margin. While they are 1-3 in O/U betting, they are 1-1 in O/U betting at home.


Panthers vs. Seahawks
The Seahawks slip to a 2-3 SU and ATS record on the season, which includes a 2.5-point losing margin, behind a loss to the Bengals on the road in week 5 NFL betting. They’ll look to bounce back in week 6 at home at the expense of the Panthers. Seattle’s home record speaks volumes: since 2012, they are a whopping 28-2 SU and 20-9-1 ATS with a 14-point winning margin. That alone is sure to make them the popular NFL pick in week 6.

The Panthers are one of six teams that are undefeated on the season, but they are coming off a week 5 bye. Last season, the Panthers and Seahawks collided in the playoffs with the Seahawks emerging winners 31-17 winners. The score belies the Panthers’ account as they held the Seahawks close until the late stages of the game.  Panthers are 3-1 ATS on the season with a 9.2-point margin of victory, and they are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games. Seahawks, by contrast, are 1-5-2 ATS in their last 8 games. Might there be an upset to spot here on your NFL picks either SU or ATS or...dare we say it…both.


Ravens vs. Niners
Ravens and Niners look to salvage what’s left of their season in week 6 when they collide in week 6 at Levi Stadium. Both sides are underperforming with 1-4 SU records. While the Niners are 2-3 ATS with a 13-point margin of defeat, the Ravens are 0-4-1 ATS with a 2.8-point margin of defeat.

Ravens are 4-1 SU in the last five meetings with the Niners, but they are 1-5 SU in their last six games. Niners are 2-8 SU in their last 10 games overall. The last time the Ravens and Niners collided was Super Bowl 47 when the Ravens won 34-31 and siblings Jim and John Harbaugh were at the helm of the respective sides. It’s all gone tits up for these two teams this season, to put it mildly. It’s anybody’s guess which NFL betting trends are going to be deciding.


Chargers vs. Packers
The Packers are a perfect 5-0 SU and ATS this season with an 11.2-point winning margin. At home, they are 3-0 SU and ATS with an 11.3-point winning margin.

Chargers are yet to play MNF. Check back later for a complete preview of the NFL betting trends in this matchup.


Patriots vs. Colts
If there was a game that NFL bettors had circled on the week 5 schedule – heck, on the entire season – high chance it was this one. What with the deflate-gate hoopla emerging from this matchup after it featured in the AFC Championship game. Patriots are a perfect 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS with an 18.2-point winning margin. Since 2014, they are a league leading 19-4 SU. As well, 14-9 ATS with an 11.9-point winning margin. As away team, they are 7-3 SU and 6-4 ATS with a 5.7-winning margin. On the road, they are riding a five-game winning streak and they won the last six meetings with the Colts in a row with the OVER cashing in five of the six. Luck has never beaten the Patriots. Need one say more about the Colts? Perhaps we should for the sake of balance. Luck has missed the last two games but the Colts are 3-2 SU. They are only 1-4 ATS with a 2.8-point losing margin 2-17-1 ATS against the Patriots in the last 20 meetings.

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