Add Patriots -10 vs. Jets to Your Week 16 NFL Picks

Steven Suarez

Tuesday, December 16, 2014 8:37 PM GMT

There's no question the Jets have been pitiful this season. Do they have any chance of staying close with Tom Brady and the Patriots this weekend? Our NFL odds preview will give you the scoop.

Odds Overview
The NFL odds vary depending on the sportsbooks. Some sites have a line as low as 10 points, while others are dishing out 11.5. There's definitely value to be had out there.

The O/U is listed at 47 points for now. We shouldn't worry much about New England being able to score points, but we have doubts about the Jets' offense in general. There are far too many question marks to consider a total play in this case.

 

New York Jets
The Jets ended a three-game skid in Week 15 by beating another awful team in the Titans on the road. It wasn't pretty, but Rex Ryan's team did just about enough to get the 16-11 win.

QB Geno Smith was 16-of-28 for 179 yards and a touchdown, and his main target was Eric Decker, who had seven receptions for an even 100 yards. Chris Johnson didn't do too much in his return to Nashville, running 10 times for 55 yards. Chris Ivory chipped in with 12 rushes for 25 yards and a short touchdown run, but it was New York's defensive effort which guided them to the win.

Before we overreact to a rare Jets win, let's put things into perspective. They're still a miserable 3-11 on the year, and now they have to contend with the Patriots offense, not Tennessee's. It's going to be a lot more difficult to slow down New England with the way that offense is clicking at the moment.

In terms of their performances on the road, the Jets have won just one of seven games, their Week 15 triumph over the Titans. That being said, a large enough sample size lets us know that this has been a good team to fade pretty much in every situation, regardless of them being at home or on the road.

 

New England Patriots
One week after a 22-13 win in San Diego, the Patriots carried over that momentum into a blowout home win over the Dolphins.

New England was only up on Miami by a point at halftime, but they turned on the style in the second half, scoring 27 unanswered points to win 41-13 against their division foes. Tom Brady finished with 287 yards and two touchdowns (one interception), with Rob Gronkowski and Julian Edelman the recipients of the scoring plays. Jonas Gray got most of the work out of the backfield and ended up with 

The Patriots are in a great spot, as they're 11-3 and have already clinched the division. But, that doesn't mean they're going to take their foot off the gass - they'll want to lock up home-field advantage throughout the playoffs, so they can't afford to let up in these last couple of weeks.

All in all though, New England will once again enter the postseason as a legit Super Bowl contender and their recent showings have backed up that suggestion. We should see more of the same this Sunday.

 

NFL Pick
As far as laying a big number goes, we don't have any problems with it in this situation. This Jets team just simply isn't good, and we'd be surprised to see them give the Patriots much of a fight, regardless of the fact these teams are so familar with one another.

New York will try to act the part of a spoiler while also grabbing a division win to keep spirits high, but we don't see it happening.

With the Patriots on a roll, and not giving us any reason to fade them, we're riding the momentum and are on the lookout for another big New England win. We expect them to cover and will grab the lowest possible number out there for the taking.

NFL Pick: New England Patriots -10 at BetOnline