Add Cowboys to Steamroll Giants to Your Week 12 NFL Picks

Joe Gavazzi

Friday, November 21, 2014 9:38 PM UTC

Friday, Nov. 21, 2014 9:38 PM UTC

Join us as we preview the matchup between the Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Giants and bring you our NFL pick for Steamroller of the Week.   

Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Giants
Each week in the Pointspread Prognosis, I isolate 3 Top Plays for you.  This STEAMROLLER selection is joined by the NFL UNDERDOG OF THE WEEK and the NFL PERCEPTION/REALITY PLAY OF THE WEEK.  Last week, NFL PSP’s Best Bets went a perfect 3-0, highlighted by your STEAMROLLER winner on San Francisco when they outrushed the NY Giants (148-65).  The basis of this STEAMROLLER play is our team’s projected dominance at the point of attack against their opponent.  We know that teams who outrush their opponent by 30 or more yards is a long-term 75% ATS winner.  In a similar way, teams who run the ball 30 times per game against their opponent or hold their opponent to 22 or less rushing attempts, is an over 80% ATS play.  When you hear the numbers below, you will understand why once again we will be fading the NY Giants as our STEAMROLLER PLAY OF THE WEEK.

The Giants got off to a humble beginning in 2013.  Though they rallied for a 7-9 SU ATS finish to the year, it was only a matter of time before the dyke broke.  In an effort to stave off the inevitable, the Giants turned to a West Coast offense to eliminate interceptions by QB Manning.  Last week, was a microcosm of that epic fail, as Eli was picked 5 more times.  Equally disturbing is that the Giants have no running game (100/3.7), yet allow opponents to run an average of 30 times per game for 145/4.9.  That is the worse rush defense in the NFL!  NY’s 6.4 defensive YP play is also last in the league.  In short, this team is unable to run the ball or play defense, a bad combination in the NFL.  A 3-2 NFL odds SU ATS beginning showed promise for the G Men.  Since that time, however, NY has gone 0-5 SU ATS, being outscored 152-72, a 2 to 1 margin.

The Cowboys enter with opposite momentum.  They are well rested, following a 31-17 victory against Jacksonville in London.  A previous meeting against the NYers resulted in a 31-21 Dallas win.  Yet there will be full focus, knowing they are tied with Philly at 7-3 SU, atop the NFC East. When making your NFL picks the fundamentals say the Cowboys will STEAMROLL their opponent.  While NY has the worst run defense in the league, Dallas has the No. 2 running attack (behind Seattle), averaging 30 carries for 153/4.8.  Why would they do anything but STEAMROLL this defense, as they have in covering each of the previous 3 meetings in this series?  With Romo playing his best in November, 27-6 SU, look for the Cowboys to easily dominate the point of attack and STEAMROLL the Giants into submission. 

NFL Picks: Cowboys at 5Dimes

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Check out our full coverage for the Cowboys vs Giants:
Back Giants 1st Half Over Cowboys
Betting Trends in Cowboys vs. Giants Scream Over
Betting the Total on Cowboys vs. Giants for Week 12 NFL Picks
Bet 1.4 Units on Cowboys ATS vs. Giants for Week 12

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