A Semi-Chalky 3-Team Titans-Saints-Steelers Parlay For NFL Week 7

Kevin Stott

Wednesday, October 18, 2017 2:57 PM UTC

Wednesday, Oct. 18, 2017 2:57 PM UTC

Parlays are like Roller-coaster rides in that sometimes you have fun and sometimes you puke, but with winning Parlays, you always get your money back while a ticket to ride a Roller-coaster may never get refunded unless you get stuck upside on the fourth turn or something.

Week 7—Sunday, October 22, 2017Parlay Leg 1—Tennessee Titans vs Cleveland Browns

The Titans (3-3 SU/ATS) head to Cleveland on Sunday afternoon to face the Browns  in an AFC inter-divisional Week 7 game from Cleveland. With  the Titans needing the win here to stay above the .500 mark as we approach the halfway point of the 2017 NFL Regular Season, backing the hungry visitors against the hapless Browns—losers of 5 straight ATS and on an epic 10-26-6 ATS money-burn over the L2+ NFL seasons—and laying the lumber seems like a good way to start a 3-legged Parlay for profit or possibly pouting after last week’s perfectly horrible offering. But you’ll have that in sports gambling. Sometimes you’re the bug, sometimes you’re the can of Raid.

The series Trends here point toward taking the Browns (5-2-1 ATS L8), but Tennessee has gradually been improving year to year and have their best cast of Receivers (Eric Decker, Delanie Walker, Rishard Matthews, Taywan Taylor) in some time. Expect Tennessee to come in Confident also, after rallying for 21 points in the 4Q on MNF to saddle the Colts, 36-22 in Nashville in Week 6, thus avoiding a very frightful 2-4 start. And we all know that Fear is the ultimate motivator.

PREDICTED FINAL SCORE: Titans 33 Browns 19PARLAY LEG 1 PICK: Titans -5½ -105Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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 Parlay Leg 2—New Orleans Saints vs Green Bay Packers

Some handicaps are Art and some are Science, and this one is 99.9% Art after the eyeball test showed an extremely downtrodden Packers team and a below-par backup in Brett Hundley after losing starting QB Aaron Rodgers (Shoulder) to an Injury in the 1Q of Green Bay’s tough loss to the Vikings in Minneapolis. True, The Pack will have all week to prep with the former UCLA QB, but opponent New Orleans come in with one of the best QBs in the history of the game and a team riding the orange October winds of a 3 game SU/ATS Win Streak. So wind is orange? And if we need some Science, the Injury Factor heading here is a big advantage to and the Saints with 12th-year Head Coach Mike McCarthy and the Packers seeing T’s David Bakhtiari (Hamstring) and Bryan Bulaga (Concussion) Questionable with Don Barclay (Ankle) and Jason Spriggs (Hamstring) both already on the IR, DBs Kevin King (Concussion), Davon House (Quad) and Morgan Burnett (Hamstring) all Questionable with Quinten Rollins (Ankle) on the IR and LBs Joe Thomas (Ankle) and Ahmad Brooks (Back) also nursing Injuries and listed as Questionable on Tuesday.

So this will be a team with a fledgling QB missing many key players, and the Point Spread movement spurred by early Sharp money is a good indication of what those who bet for a living think of Green Bay in this spot—a team seldom, if ever an Underdog at Home in Brown County. The number right now is saying Rodgers is worth about 10 points to the Cheeseheads, but with New Orleans playing so well and winning by 21, 20 and 14 points in its L3 games, taking a shot on the Saints on Sunday afternoon at Lambeau Field in Week 7 in this NFC date seems worth it as long as the number doesn’t rise beyond 6 with a theoretical 50% of the snaps on Offense going to Purdue product and living legend Brees and 50% to 24-year-old, 3rd-year man Hundley who went 18-for-33 for 157 yards, throwing for a TD and 3 Interceptions in his spell of Mr. Rodgers against the Vikings. The Wisconsin Site and Green-and-Gold Crowd will help, but not enough for Hundley who has Joe Callahan—a player with no NFL experience from Division III Wesley—behind him on the Depth Chart. GB HC McCarthy said this week he has no intention right now of signing another (backup) QB. So maybe 48-year-old Brett Favre comes out of Retirement and gets his Shoulder hurt?

PREDICTED FINAL SCORE: Saints 29 Packers 20PARLAY LEG 2 PICK: Saints -5½ -105Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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Parlay Leg 3—Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals

We stay in the AFC for our 2nd Leg, the Steelers, who have to be feeling pretty good about themselves after knocking off the previously unbeaten Chiefs in Kansas City in Week 6 as RB Le’Veon Bell and WR Antonio Brown resumed their productive ways on Offense with Big Ben Roethlisberger gladly distributing the pigskin to his able and All-Pro teammates. The current Consensus at time of publishing early Wednesday shows although the Steelers have only received 46.3% of the Wagers Placed, Pittsburgh has got more of the money ($9,425-$3,696, 718%) than Cincinnati with Pittsburgh’s Average Bet Size almost tripling the Bengals’ ($65 to $22). So the Sharps and Public liked how the Steelers looked against the Chiefs, and holding Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce in check at Arrowhead is praise-worthy.

The Trends reveal Pittsburgh (1,275 to win the Super Bowl, Pinnacle) to be 3-1 ATS the L4 meetings and a profitable 33-17 ATS since 1992 in this AFC North Tackle-palooza with the Steelers winning 24-16 in The Steel City in this spot last season, covering ATS as 3-point Home Favorites (47½). Pittsburgh heads in 4-2 SU and 3-3 ATS while Andy Dalton, AJ Green and Cincinnati are 2-3 SU/ATS and coming off their Bye Week. Even though the Steelers have been playing great every-other Sunday (and this is one), the Bengals have one Win against a team with zero (Cleveland) and are 1-6 ATS L7 trips to Pittsburgh. Primanti Brothers for everyone and use your Terrible Towel as a napkin if you must, although a little Italian Dressing always builds character.

PREDICTED FINAL SCORE: Steelers 30 Bengals 15PARLAY LEG 3 PICK: Steelers -5 -110Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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