Note: Super Bowl week is upon us! Please check out our latest Super Bowl odds article for more up to date information.
The NFL Divisional Round of the playoffs is here, and we examine how the Super Bowl odds were adjusted following Wild Card Weekend. Green Bay Packers remain the shortest shot, followed by the Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills.
There is a heavyweight matchup in the AFC as the Chiefs are -2.5-point favorites against the Bills. Since the Titans and Bengals are not respected in the market, the winner of this game will have much shorter Super Bowl futures heading into the Conference Championship game.
Little did we know that we were watching both NFC Divisional round games in Week 3. The Rams and Packers won the first meeting, but who will prevail when it matters most?
The eight remaining playoff teams and their updated Super Bowl odds are listed below.
2022 Super Bowl Odds Tracker
AFC Conference Super Bowl Odds
Kansas City Chiefs (+400)
Best Super Bowl Odds: (+400 via FanDuel, BetMGM, Barstool, and PointsBet)
Preseason Odds: +450
Divisional Round Matchup: -2.5 vs. Bills
In a celebration of Ben Roethlisberger's retirement, the Chiefs sent the Steelers home in style. The Chiefs covered the 13.5-point spread and surpassed the 46.5-point total in their 42-21 victory. On tap is the matchup we have all been waiting for, Chiefs vs Bills. This game between Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen is sure to be electric, and the bookmakers agree as the total opened at 55. Despite a slight dip when the Chiefs were struggling midway through the season, they are now back to close to their preseason odds.
Buffalo Bills (+550)
Best Super Bowl Odds: (+550 via BetMGM)
Preseason Odds: +1100
Divisional Round Matchup: +2.5 at Chiefs
A 47-17 victory for the Bills over the Patriots was an absolute drubbing. The total easily surpassed 43 as it sailed past the closing number. Buffalo, who closed as -4.5-point favorites, covered easily. In the Divisional Round, the Bills will play the Chiefs and it will be a rematch of their game on October 10th, when the Bills won 38-20.
Tennessee Titans (+900)
Best Super Bowl Odds: (+900 via Barstool and PointsBet)
Preseason Odds: +2000
Divisional Round Matchup: -3.5 vs. Bengals
The first-round bye was crucial for the Titans, as it allowed Derrick Henry to rest for an additional week before returning from his broken foot. As no upsets occurred in the AFC on Wild Card Weekend, the Titans' futures numbers got a touch longer. Last week's odds were mostly +850, but now there are some +900 available. When they host the Bengals on Saturday, the Titans will be looking to prove that they were deserving of the No.1 seed.
Cincinnati Bengals (+1500)
Best Super Bowl Odds: (+1500 via FanDuel, DraftKings, and Barstool)
Preseason Odds: +15000
Divisional Round Matchup: +3.5 at Titans
As 6-point home favorites, Joe Burrow and the Bengals defeated the Raiders 26-19. It was the officials who earned the secondary assist for the Bengals victory. In the current Super Bowl 56 odds, the Bengals have the longest shot of winning the Lombardi trophy. They've also dropped significantly from the +15000 before the season.
NFC Conference Super Bowl Odds
Green Bay Packers (+375)
Best Super Bowl Odds: (+375 via BetMGM and PointsBet)
Preseason Odds: +1400
Divisional Round Matchup: -5.5 vs. 49ers
In hosting the Niners, the Packers will not have it easy. This is one of those teams designed for a game at Lambeau Field and probably one of the last teams they wanted to host. The Packers' Super Bowl odds decreased from +400 to +375 from Wild Card Weekend to the Divisional Round. Given that there were no real upsets in the NFC, and the Niners could pose a more difficult challenge for Rodgers and company, it's kind of surprising that they were shortened.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+550)
Best Super Bowl Odds: (+550 Consensus)
Preseason Odds: +700
Divisional Round Matchup: -3 vs. Rams
The Buccaneers offense was without Chris Godwin, Leonard Fournette, and Antonio Brown, but Brady still dismantled the Eagles. The Buccaneers beat the Eagles 31-15 to cover the 7-point spread and keep the total under 47 points. The score is slightly misleading since the game was a non-contest for the first 45 minutes. In the Divisional Round, they will host the Rams, who defeated them by a score of 34-24 in Week 3.
The Buccaneers open as 3-point home favorites against the Rams. When these two teams met at SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles earlier this season, the spread was a pick. Taking the +550 on the Buccaneers would be a wise move if you think the Niners will beat the Packers.
Los Angeles Rams (+800)
Best Super Bowl Odds: (+800 via BetMGM)
Preseason Odds: +1200
Divisional Round Matchup: +3 at Buccaneers
In their rout of the Cardinals, the Rams had Kyler Murray memes being posted early and often. As the Cardinals could not get anything accomplished offensively, the Rams won 34-11, covering the 3.5 points, and the total stayed under 49. The Rams face a difficult task in playing back-to-back playoff games in Tampa Bay and in Green Bay. Buying the Rams now is a wise idea if you like the Rams to win in Tampa Bay and if you believe the 49ers can defeat the Packers.
San Francisco 49ers (+1200)
Best Super Bowl Odds: (+1200 via Barstool)
Preseason Odds: +1400
Divisional Round Matchup: +5.5 at Packers
McCarthy did his part, and the 49ers were able to defeat the Cowboys 23-17 despite being 3.5-point underdogs on the road.
A lot of narratives surround the Niners-Packers matchup heading into their Divisional matchup. This includes the offseason trade for Aaron Rodgers that was reportedly close to occurring until the Packers backed out at the last minute. In Week 3, the Packers defeated the Niners 30-28 on a last-second Mason Crosby field goal. San Francisco was a 3-point home favorite in their first matchup, and they will catch 5.5 on the road this time around. The spread will adjust if Nick Bosa and Fred Warner are available for this game, but the Niners futures number will likely remain the same. They may have value in their Super Bowl odds at +1200 if Bosa and Warner are available.