Mocking up the 2021 NFL Draft is underway amongst established NFL insiders and various NFL-focused media outlets. Football fans and bettors looking to capitalize on the deep well of 2021 NFL Draft odds swirling online and any other corresponding markets are embarrassed for choice when it comes to gaining an insight into how the annual pro-football induction event might unfold. And with merely a handful of days left before the much anticipated event gets underway, here’s yet another speculative piece about how the draft might unfold in the first round for bettors to sink their teeth into.
Predicting the draft isn’t an exact science. Speculating the draft is subjective, comprised of a combination of several lines of thought: a) what might happen, b) what should happen and c) what the word on the street is based on inside sources and their reports.
Taking into consideration these three aspects, here is another mock 2021 NFL draft to consider, complete with corresponding odds from various top sportsbooks. We look at the first ten picks in some detail and serve up the rest of the picks (No.11 to 32) in a quickfire format.
No.1 Jacksonville Jaguars: QB Trevor Lawrence
Trevor Lawrence has long been touted as one of the prize picks in the 2021 NFL draft but when the quarterback-needy Jaguars were awarded the top pick in the 2021 NFL draft, it was an almost foregone conclusion that the Clemson Tigers signal caller would be the first player off the board. That sentiment is being echoed across multiple betting sites with Lawrence installed as the runaway fave.
No.2 New York Jets: QB Zach Wilson
The ebb and flow on the market for the No.2 draft pick, which belongs to the New York Jets, has been one of the most pronounced in recent weeks. At one point, Ohio State Buckeyes quarterback Justin Fields looked like he might be the one to go second overall, but that started to change over a month ago as BYU quarterback Zach Wilson made grounds.
Now, if the NFL odds were any indication, Wilson looks to be a shoe-in to go the Jets, who are in much need of quarterback too after packing off Sam Darnold to the Carolina Panthers in a trade. As per BetOnline, Wilson is the top bet to go to the Jets.
No.3 San Francisco 49ers – QB Mac Jones
The San Francisco 49ers traded up from No.12 to No.3 last month, an aggressive move that many are interpreting as a sign of quarterback intent in the 2021 NFL draft. According to top NFL insider Ian Rapoport, the Niners have narrowed down their selection to two quarterbacks: Mac Jones and Trey Lance. The odds are shifting towards Mac Jones in the betting, but this selection could go either way for NFL picks.
No.4 Atlanta Falcons – TE Kyle Pitts
What the Atlanta Falcons will do with the fourth overall pick remains to be seen, but it could have far-reaching implications in the draft. Will the Falcons draft the quarterback of the future, Matt Ryan’s heir apparent? Or will they look towards one of the many offensive weapons on the board and select from that coveted group of playmakers? It’s quite the conundrum.
Matt Ryan is an elite quarterback that can litter the stat sheet and give the Falcons a competitive edge. However, he’s not getting any younger. He may be the starting quarterback in 2021, but the Falcons might want to take advantage of this quarterback draft class and pick a quarterback that could develop under Ryan not unlike Patrick Mahomes developed under Alex Smith for a year in Kansas City Chiefs. If they go that route, Trey Lance might prove to be a sensational choice.
That said, recent reports have tied TE Kyle Pitts with a possible move to the Atlanta Falcons, and odds makers have responded with several markets. At BetOnline, odds on Pitts going in the first five picks are tipped at -300. It’s worth pointing out that tight ends very rarely, if at all, go so high in the draft though.
|Over/Under for Kyle Pitts Selection|
|Under 5½ Selection Number -300|
|Over 5½ Selection Number +200|
According to Bovada Sportsbook (visit our Bovada Review), Pitts is the top bet to go fourth overall at -200. However, Justin Fields is a close second bet at +180 and Trey Lance is not too far behind as the third best bet at +250.
|NFL 2021 Draft – 4th overall pick odds|
|Kyle Pitts -200|
|Justin Fields +180|
|Trey Lance +250|
|Mac Jones +1500|
|Penei Sewell +1800|
Another alternative is a trade. There’s been a lot of speculation whether the Falcons will pull the trigger on the day or surprise everyone instead by trading the fourth pick to one of a number of teams that are reportedly in the hunt for a quarterback. As per BetOnline, the likelihood the Falcons will trade away the No.4 pick isn’t the expected outcome, but, then again, at odds of +160 it’s not entirely out of the question either.
|Will the Falcons trade the No. 4 overall pick?|
No.5 Cincinnati Bengals – OT Penei Sewell
The Cincinnati Bengals went first in the draft last year and picked quarterback Joe Burrow, a player that they have high hopes for the future. Considering how Burrow’s season ended prematurely with an injury, building around the second-year quarterback might be a top priority. Hence, offensive tackle Penei Sewell seems to be a logical top choice for the Bengals if they exercise the No.5 pick. According to BetOnline Sportsbook, Sewell is the first offensive lineman likely to come off the board.
Of course, a contrary argument could be made for Ja’Marr Chase here, who is widely tipped to be the first wide receiver to come off the board. The Bengals offense could do with some sprucing up and as they have their quarterback in place already they might choose to build around him with weapons over protection in mind first.
|First WR to be picked in the 2021 Draft|
|Ja’Marr Chase -1200|
|Jaylen Waddle +600|
|DeVonta Smith +900|
No.6 Miami Dolphins – WR Ja’Marr Chase
The Miami Dolphins have the No.6 overall draft pick, but they’re in prime position to trade away the pick according to many experts on draft day. This would become an especially viable option – if not lucrative – should the Falcons decide not to go for a quarterback with the No.4 pick’ thus, leaving a few choice signal callers on the board for a slew of quarterback-needy teams to potentially bargain for.
If the Dolphins decide to exercise the No.6 option, the likelihood they’ll go for an offensive weapon is high. A move supported in the NFL betting markets.
No.7 Detroit Lions – QB Trey Lance
The Detroit Lions are in total rebuild build, entering a new era with a new head coach and making many other wholesale changes to the organization. In the offseason, the Lions were one of the first teams to make headlines in a blockbuster trade with the Los Angeles Rams, swapping quarterback Matthew Stafford for Jared Goff.
Goff is expected to be the starter in 2021, but he’s a total wildcard. He’s been a hit and miss with the Rams, experiencing the very highs and lows of an NFL season already in his fledgling career. Thus, in the eyes of many, it’s possible that the Lions might throw a spanner in the works by taking advantage to select a quarterback that would be a serious challenger to Goff for the starting job. Trey Lance, who has seen his stock rise in recent weeks, might fit that bill nicely as a player that could either challenge Goff immediately or at some point in the 2021 NFL season.
|Which Side of the Ball will the Lions use their First Pick in the 2021 NFL Draft?|
Of course, another possibility is that new GM Brad Holmes decides to ride out the 2021 NFL season with Goff in mind, thus taking the opportunity to either shore up the roster with this No.7 pick or, even, better yet trade it instead for a slew of picks in this year’s draft as well as ensuing drafts with a view of collecting as many draft picks possible to improve the roster significantly over the next few years.
No.8 Carolina Panthers – WR DeVonta Smith
Seeing as the Panthers picked up Sam Darnold, one can assume the quarterback position isn’t a top priority now and other positions are more pressing. Thus, it’s quite likely the Panthers will look to a slew of other positions, such as CB Patrick Surtain II to OL Rashawn Slater and WR DeVonta Smith or WR Jaylen Waddle.
No.9 Denver Broncos – QB Justin Fields
Third-year quarterback Drew Lock appears to be on thin ice after his first two seasons yielded less than stellar results. The Broncos are amongst several teams that could be in the market for a quarterback with their first round pick depending on what quarterbacks are still available at this stage of the draft.
If Justin Fields is still on the board, the Broncos just might take the chance on the Ohio State product. Fields is one of the best signal callers in this draft, but recent developments – the revelation that he suffers from seizures – has taken some of the shine off his odds, which could see him slip down the draft to the border of the top 10, if not further.
No.10 Dallas Cowboys – CB Patrick Surtain II
Jerry Jones has a tendency to surprise in the draft. Last year, he scooped up WR CeeDee Lamb to the chagrin of all and sundry. Should TE Kyle Pitts be on the board when the Cowboys’ number gets called, don’t be surprised if they go offense.
Pitts is reportedly on Jones’ radar. However, if there’s one thing the Cowboys really should focus on after last season’s debacle it’s defense. Should they do so, the consensus pick here appears to be Patrick Surtain II.
The rest of the draft picks, from No.11 to No.32 in the first round, we serve up some quickfire selections to consider below.
- No.11 NY Giants – DT Christian Barmore
- No.12 Philadelphia Eagles – OL Rashawn Slater
- No.13 Los Angeles Chargers – WR Jaylen Waddle
- No.14 Minnesota Vikings – DE Jaelen Phillips
- No.15 New England Patriots –QB Kyle Trask
- No.16 Arizona Cardinals – OL Alijah Vera Tucker
- No.17 Las Vegas Raiders – LB Zaven Collins
- No.18 Miami Dolphins – OL Teven Jenkins
- No.19 Washington Football Team –LB Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah
- No.20 Chicago Bears – DE Gregory Rousseau
- No.21 Indianapolis Colts –DE Azeez Ojulari
- No.22 Tennessee Titans – WR Elijah Moore
- No.23 New York Jets – LB Micah Parsons
- No.24 Pittsburgh Steelers – OT Christian Daririsaw
- No.25 Jacksonville Jaguars – S Trevon Moehrig
- No.26 Cleveland Browns – Greg Newsome II
- No.27 Baltimore Ravens – DE Joe Tyron
- No. 28 New Orleans Saints –CB Caleb Farley
- No.29 Green Bay Packers – WR Kadarius Toney
- No.30 Buffalo Bills – RB Najee Harris
- No.31 Baltimore Ravens –RB Travis Etienne
- No.32 Tampa Bay Buccaneers – DE Jayson Oweh