2018 NFL Draft: Chubb Leads Wagers on Defensive Players

Doug Upstone

Tuesday, April 24, 2018 11:35 AM UTC

Tuesday, Apr. 24, 2018 11:35 AM UTC

While the NFL has taken sizeable hits publicly the last couple years, they have gotten one thing right: By further promoting the NFL Draft and taking it to different cities, the interest has skyrocketed.

Over the last several weeks, we here at SBR have generated several NFL Draft articles, trying to provide the latest news and opinions about what is happening in the marketplace. Of course, the information is ever-changing and more than one NFL team is being coy, which will lead to stunning developments.

Oddsmakers at 5Dimes and BetOnline and other top sportsbooks are dialed in to what is going, but they are basing their information from many of the same resources that are available to everyone. Today, we will focus our attention on the defensive side of the ball and other thoughts for NFL picks for prop bets about this upcoming weekend draft.

2018 NFL Draft Position: Bradley Chubb
  • Over 5½ +100
  • Under 5½ -140

Over a month ago, it was certain Chubb of N.C. State would be the first defensive player taken, and that has not changed. What has changed is where he presumably will be chosen. Previously, Chubb was a Top 10 pick, but with the New York football Giants apparently not in the market for a quarterback with the second pick, they are leaning towards taking RB Saquon Barkley.

If Barkley is gone, that leaves Cleveland at No. 4 to take Chubb and give themselves young bookend defensive ends, having picked Myles Garrett a year ago at No.1 overall. Chubb at this juncture is a better pass rusher than run defender but is projected to be in the mode of the Ravens' Terrell Suggs. The UNDER looks to be a rather safe wager.

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Total Defensive Players Drafted in the 1st Round
  • Over 14½ -500
  • Under 14½ +300

In reviewing a dozen mock drafts from those on the web whom are paid to do so for a living, this is a very interesting prop. In spite of all the attention paid to the quarterbacks and Barkley, every first-round draft board we checked had either 15 or 16 defensive players to be taken. Though the odds are lousy, so taking the lower number appears to be a sucker bet.

2018 NFL Draft Position: Shaquem Griffin
  • 1st Round +3300
  • 2nd Round +1400
  • 3rd Round +350
  • 4th Round +250
  • 5th Round +250
  • 6th Round +450
  • 7th Round +750
  • Not Drafted +1400

Let's not sugar-coat this, if Griffin is not taken by the end of third round, all 32 GMs should be deducted the average salary of this year's third rounders, divided by 32. It doesn't take a genius to pull tape and watch Griffin's achievements at Central Florida. The guy is a marvelous athlete who learned and worked hard to become an elite football player. He stole the show as a late invitee at The Combine and it is a given he is driven, a special teammate and a terrific person. Not having a left hand is a problem for everyone else, not Griffin.

Which Linebacker Is Taken First?
  • Roquan Smith drafted first -260
  • Tremaine Edmunds drafted first +180

There are those who like Edmunds, and it is possible he could be taken ahead of Smith. Yet the Georgia linebacker is a sideline-to-sideline player and somebody will be missing out if he does not go in the Top 10.

Which Defensive Lineman Is Taken First?
  • Marcus Davenport drafted first -145
  • Vita Vea drafted first +105

With these two, it is a matter of need. Davenport is prototypical edge rusher who will have to learn the speed of the NFL game coming from UT-San Antonio. If Chicago and San Francisco don't take him at No. 8 or 9, Vea will be taken in the 13-17 range as the best nose tackle in the draft. Davenport makes sense, which is why Vea is probably a better bet.

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