2018 NFL Draft Betting Props: Which Running Backs Are Money?

Doug Upstone

Wednesday, April 11, 2018 3:54 PM UTC

Wednesday, Apr. 11, 2018 3:54 PM UTC

The NFL Draft starts April 26th and presently, ESPN's draft analysts Todd McShay and Mel Kiper are trending as highly as Necco Wafers, because of their continual, almost hourly updates.

On this day, we ventured over to Betonline to take a look at the various draft prop bets and look over the NFL odds and see if we should consider any NFL picks. We already know more than one team will completely screw up their quarterback selection and possibly more, but this year's stable of running back picks appears more stable and we will look in that direction.

It is a given Saquon Barkley of Penn State will be the first running back chosen, unless Mike Ditka is back in some team's draft room and screws everything up again. (Google "Ditka and Ricky Williams") But who will be the next pigskin-toter? Here are the latest odds.

Derrius Guice -500

Sony Michel +200

Nick Chubb +700

Ronald Jones +2000

Saquon Barkley +2500

Any Other RB +3300

Unfortunately, this particular prop wager does not hold a lot of appeal, because as the odds note, Guice is pretty much a sure thing to go right Barkley and everyone else is further down the line. However, just look ahead to next prop for more intrigue.

Draft Position - Derrius Guice

Over 32 +150

Under 32 -200

If you study the various team's needs and consider what most of the paid draft experts are thinking and hearing, this prop actually offers value. At this time, other than Barkley, the Steelers Le'Veon Bell and Arizona's David Johnson, there is no other team looking to make a first-round selection for a multi-dimensional back like Guice. This would make the OVER wager a rather solid bet. In terms of where the former LSU back would land, it would seem the right place would be New Jersey in the second round, where the New York Giants play their football games.

Draft Position - Saquon Barkley

Over 5½ +200

Under 5½ -300

Whatever quarterback Cleveland takes with the first pick, based on the odds, there is a 75 percent chance Barkley goes to the Browns at No. 4. There is a school of thought that since they picked up Tyrod Taylor, Cleveland might want to take defensive end Bradley Chubb, which would give them two dynamic pass rushers, with Myles Garrett on the other side. This could lead to Barkley slipping to No.7, where Tampa Bay would have to snag him to help QB Jameis Winston. Nonetheless, that is a one in four shot, which makes UNDER 5.5 the play.

Total RB's Drafted in the 1st Round

Over 1½ RB -200

Under 1½ RB +150

Based on the information we have laid and what we think we know, the UNDER appears to be a safe bet.

Also, if this information is not correct, that does not mean we were wrong in our assessment. As people paid a lot of cash have chosen Dion Jordan (Dolphins 2013), Justin Blackmon (Jaguars 2012), Jason Smith (Rams 2009), Aaron Curry (Seahawks 2009) and Mr. Workout Warrior Vernon Gholston (Jets 2008) to name a few, all who were Top 6 picks and complete busts.

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