2018 Miami Dolphins Win Total: Fish to Get Squished

Swinging Johnson

Thursday, July 12, 2018 12:26 PM UTC

Thursday, Jul. 12, 2018 12:26 PM UTC

The Dolphins ended last season with three consecutive losses and failed to make the playoffs. This season could be more of the same, or perhaps it’s the beginning of a new era. Let’s check out what the oddsmakers are dealing for Miami’s total wins for the 2018 season.

The Miami Dolphins knew last summer that things were not going to go as expected in 2017 when their starting quarterback Ryan Tannehill tore his ACL in August and was sidelined for the remainder of the season. It was a devastating blow to a team that had made the playoffs in 2016 and served as a landmark year for Tannehill, who finished the season with a career-high 67.1 completion percentage, 2,995 yards, 19 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. Miami tried to bridge the gap by signing Jay Cutler in his stead but ultimately the season was a failure and the Fish finished 2017 with a 6-10 record, ahead of only the Jets in the AFC East.

The good news is that Tannehill has recovered and is reportedly ready to lock and load. Yet, the verdict is still out on Tannehill, which is a bit absurd considering he is 29 years old and entering his seventh NFL season. Had it not been for a career year in 2016, the Miami brass would have probably been looking to trade up to land one of the premier quarterbacks in the 2018 draft. The fact that they didn’t illustrates their commitment to Tannehill but that decision is not necessarily the right one. The NFL odds board reveals that Miami is projected to be among the weakest teams in the league this year as evidenced by the following long shot odds.

  • Odds to Win AFC East +1350 (3rd)
  • Odds to Win the AFC +3750 (15th)
  • Odds to Win the Super Bowl +15,000 (31st)
  • Total Wins on the Season: 6 (O-115)

Let’s take a look at Miami’s recent seasonal records as well as the projected total wins that the bookmakers were dealing before the season started.

  • 2018 – 6 (O-115)
  • 2017 – 7 ½ (U-130) (6-10 record)
  • 2016 – 7 (U-140) (10-6 record)
  • 2015 – 9 (O-120) (6-10 record)

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Refresh your computer background ahead of Training Camp.@ryantannehill1 | @minkfitz_21 #WallpaperWednesday pic.twitter.com/hXOeWjoL3g

— Miami Dolphins (@MiamiDolphins) July 11, 2018
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Miami Dolphins Outlook

Dolphins Offense – Let’s begin by addressing the fact that Miami dealt away their top wide receiver on a team that could use all the offensive punch they can get. Yes, Jarvis Landry was traded to Cleveland in exchange for a fourth- and seventh-round pick. Granted, Landry was going to command a big payday but couldn’t the Dolphins wrangle more out of the Browns? Regardless, the Miami offense is now less effective than it was last season with this one move. Not good for a team that was 6-10 and owned a middling passing attack even with their top weapon.

Dolphins Defense – Miami released Ndamukong Suh after the 2017 season and that’s not necessarily a bad thing. As Suh’s skills ebb, the headaches he causes both on and off the field flow. Therefore, the Dolphins won’t miss a beat without him and got better with the acquisition of defensive end Robert Quinn from the Rams and drafting a top-notch defensive back in Alabama’s Minkah Fitzpatrick as the 11th overall pick in the draft. The Dolphins also got value in Ohio State linebacker Jerome Baker in the third-round. The defense should be at least serviceable, but the linebacking corps still needs plenty of retooling.

Bottom Line – Tannehill is far from a sure thing, and even if he has another year resembling 2016 it will be a positive sign for the franchise but by no means does 19 touchdown passes against 12 picks punch your ticket to the Pro Bowl. After a year on the shelf and devoid of the best receiver on last year’s team, how does that inspire confidence? I don’t see this offense going anywhere, and with two losses to the Patriots virtually guaranteed the only wins on their slate would be a series split with the Jets and Bills, as well as victories over the Bears (at home) and Colts (on the road). That comes out to a 4-12 record, well short of the six total wins being dealt. Stay low and go 'under' 6 (+105) total wins for Miami in your NFL picks this season.

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