NFL Power Rankings for Week 14

Doug Upstone

Friday, December 5, 2014 7:17 PM GMT

We are down to the last quarter of the season and the sportsbooks numbers are razor sharp on the NFL odds. This is where it pays to be prudent against the betting odds and choose carefully. 

In the spirit of helping, SportsBookReview.com has been publishing NFL Power Rankings for most of the season, to lend you a hand betting sports picks with a score-based formula. We try to accurately assess each game and give you our take against the sportsbooks number and let you decide who might be right or wrong.

If you are making NFL picks, check our number vs. the oddsmakers line on Friday mornings and any favorite we have larger by three or four points is 15-5 ATS this season.

Despite the loss, New England is still our best team in these power rankings. Seattle is in second place with Denver third, followed by Indianapolis and Green Bay. After 10 weeks, we have a new “leader” in the basement, as Carolina has supplanted Jacksonville. 

POWER RATINGS

START

CURRENT

 

POWER RATINGS

START

CURRENT

             

NFC East

 

AFC East

Dallas

93

94

 

Buffalo

91

96

NY Giants

94

89

 

Miami

93

98

Philadelphia

97

102

 

New England

97

104

Washington

92

87

 

NY Jets

92

89

             

NFC North

 

AFC North

Chicago

95

89

 

Baltimore

97

99

Detroit

94

98

 

Cincinnati

96

97

Green Bay

97

102

 

Cleveland

91

91

Minnesota

91

92

 

Pittsburgh

95

92

             

NFC South

 

AFC South

Atlanta

94

93

 

Houston

92

96

Carolina

94

83

 

Indianapolis

95

103

New Orleans

99

95

 

Jacksonville

90

85

Tampa Bay

91

89

 

Tennessee

92

83

             

NFC West

 

AFC West

Arizona

95

97

 

Denver

99

103

San Francisco

98

92

 

Kansas City

95

97

Seattle

100

104

 

Oakland

92

86

St. Louis

93

94

 

San Diego

96

96

 

Thursday – Dallas - 2 over Chicago

We are a bit lower than the oddsmakers 3.5-point figure and are forecasting a very tight NFC contest. Quarterback play will be big key.

                             
Miami -1 over Baltimore
Our number is a couple points lower and the Dolphins are a well-known poor home favorites, sporting a 8-21 ATS record since 2004 giving points in South Florida versus non-division opponents.  


Cincinnati - 7 over Pittsburgh
Yes, any NFL football handicapper can recite the fact the Steelers are 18-5 and 17-6 ATS in the Queen City since 1992, however, we see a more consistent Cincinnati team prepared to take over the division with their recent 5-1 SU record and win this comfortably.
 

Indianapolis – 9 over Cleveland
This spread reflects the fact the Colts have six wins by 16 or more points, while half of Cleveland’s game have been determined by five points or less.
 

Houston -9 over Jacksonville
It was terrific the Jaguars engineered the greatest comeback in team history in beating the New York football Giants, but still hard to overlook they were down 21-0 and will face a much better Houston squad. We like our number even on the road.

                                                         
N.Y. Giants -3 over Tennessee
The G-Men have lost seven straight and gave Jacksonville the game last week. However, we believe the sportsbooks number is a little low and we now have Tennessee lower rated on our NFL power rankings than Jacksonville.
 

New Orleans -14 over Carolina
We concur our spread on this contest might be high being a division game and a couple other factors, nonetheless, Carolina is 1-8-1 SU since Week 3 and has been whipped by 18 or more points a half dozen times.
 

Detroit -11 over Tampa Bay
Not a large difference of opinion here, with us being one-point higher than most sportsbooks.  
 

St. Louis -5 over Washington
Some football bettors and handicappers might consider this a –trap game – for the Rams, being favored on the road (first time in 30 contests). We do not think so and see a St. Louis team with more talent, focus and betting coaching at this moment.


Minnesota -7 over N.Y. Jets
With those whacky Jets, don’t be shocked if they do a 180 this week and pass 60 times and never run the ball. Our number is very close to those setting the line.
 

Denver -10 over Buffalo
We and the books are almost dead on here; just keep in mind Buffalo has not covered the number three times in a row in last six tries.


Arizona -3 over Kansas City
This is our lone outright upset, as we believe the Cardinals back at home can control the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball. The Twitter rumor of former Cards RB Rashard Mendenhall un-retiring to have one last 100+ yards rushing game against Kansas City’s suddenly deplorable run defense is yet unfounded.
 

San Francisco -7 over Oakland
The stories surrounding Jim Harbaugh are far more intriguing than this Bay Area battle. Our number is one digit off from the linemakers.


Philadelphia -1 over Seattle
These are our No. 4 and No. 2 teams respectively in the power rankings and we align perfectly with the books. Know this; Seattle is 10-1 ATS as underdogs.
 

SNF – New England – 6 over San Diego
The Pats are the top-ranked team at SportsBook Review.com and while we are three points higher than the line, New England is a ‘juiced’ -3 and our guess is you will see a higher figure on the Patriots by game time.
 

MNF – Green Bay – 12 over Atlanta
We are nearly identical with the sportsbooks in this NFC contest and keep in mind teams like Atlanta off an outright home upset are 3-8-1 ATS this season.