According to NCAA basketball odds Michigan is a 16.0 point favorite and the posted total is 126.5. Michigan (25-8) was the regular season champion of the Big 10, and lost to Michigan State in the conference tournament championship game. Wofford (20-12) finished tied for the 3rd in the Southern Conference regular season, and then went on to win their conference tournament by defeating Western Carolina in the championship game 56-53.
Wofford lost 5-games in their own conference during the regular season, and were beneficiaries of everything falling their way in the Southern Conference tournament in order to qualify for the “Big Dance”. The Terriers went 3-7 in their non-conference schedule to start the season, with their only win versus a Division 1 opponent coming over Gardener Webb 65-62. They have faced just 2 teams this season that will be part of the NCAA Tournament. They lost both of those games on the road to St. Louis 66-52, and to VCU 72-57. They say the great equalizer for the underdog in college basketball is the 3-point shot. Well Wofford shoots a very good 37.1% from long distance, and will need to even exceed that number to stay in this contest. The Terriers were also a very good defensive team allowing just 62.4 points per game which ranks 23rd nationally. They will have to be every bit as good, if not better, versus a Michigan team that’s one of the best shooting teams in the country.
Out to Finish the Task
The Michigan Wolverines advanced all the way to the NCAA national championship game a season ago, before losing a very close 82-76 decision to Louisville. Their chances to get back to the Final Four this season seemed to take a turn for the worse in early December when sophomore starting center Mitch McGary (9.5 ppg, 8.3rpg) was lost for the season due to a back injury. After all McGary was an integral part of their run to the title game a season ago. The star center went down in a 72-70 home loss to Arizona that left the Wolverines with a disappointing 6-4 record at that juncture. Since that loss Michigan has gone 19-4, including capturing the Big 10 regular season crown. As I alluded to earlier in this article, this is a deadly shooting Wolverines team. Michigan enters this contest shooting 47.6% from the field, and 39.8% from beyond the 3-point line.
NCAA Betting System
Any neutral court team with a total of between 120.0 to 129.5 that’s playing in the 1st round of any postseason tournament, and both teams have a winning percentage of between .600 to .800, has seen 30 of those 38-games (78.9%) go under the total in the last 5 seasons.Free Pick: Wofford/Michigan to go under the total of 126.5