Wichita State vs. Dayton - South Region, First Round

Doug Upstone

Wednesday, March 15, 2017 6:26 PM UTC

Wednesday, Mar. 15, 2017 6:26 PM UTC

So much for seeding, with Wichita State the No.10 seed in the South Region as 5.5 point favorite over No. 7 Dayton in Indianapolis, in the first evening game on CBS on St. Patrick's Day.

  Wichita State vs. Dayton

First Four, South Region
Friday, March 17th - 7:10 pm E.T


Wichita State Breakdown

The Shockers began the season 9-3, with all three losses coming against teams in the NCAA field (Louisville, Michigan State and Oklahoma State). Though Wichita State (30-4, 19-11-1 ATS) was hardly playing poorly, coach Gregg Marshall tinkered with his starting lineup and everything clicked for as the Shockers have gone on to win 20 of 21, including 15 in a row. Respected KenPom.com has Wichita State as the eighth-best team in the country, which might be a stretch given how weak the Missouri Valley was this season, but the Shockers are highly efficient inside and outside on offense and opposing teams only make 37.8 percent of shots. No wonder the sportsbooks have them favored against the college basketball odds.


Dayton Breakdown

While Wichita State might be unhappy about No.10 seeding, Dayton (24-7, 18-10-1 ATS) has to also feel underappreciated being this large an underdog as the higher seed. The Flyers were the A-10 regular season champions, yet has created doubt about themselves in losing regular season finale to George Washington and first game of A-10 tourney to pedestrian Davidson crew. The two best players for Dayton are Charles Cooke and Scoochie Smith and they will both need big games for the Flyers to engineer the upset. Dayton does come in 9-1 ATS after two straight losses by six points or less.


What to Watch For

Though I expect Dayton to put up a spirited fight, for college basketball picks, Wichita State does have the better team, more scoring options and plays better defense. One factor that will be the difference, The Flyers are even in rebounding margin, while the Shockers are at +9 and they are outstanding in fighting for offensive rebounds.

Free NCAAB Pick: Wichita State -6Best Line Offered: at JustBet

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