Wake Forest vs. Notre Dame NCAA Basketball Picks: Live Dog at Double-Digit Price Sounds Nice!

Joe Gavazzi

Tuesday, February 17, 2015 4:52 PM GMT

When Wake Forest and Notre Dame battle tonight, the NCAA Basketball Odds makers have set the Demon Deacons as huge underdogs at +600 on the Money Line with a Point Spread of 12 points or more.

Wake Forest vs. Notre Dame (-12) 7:00 ET ESPNU
Wake Forest visits South Bend tonight for an ACC matchup between a pair of improving teams in ACC play.  Notre Dame stands 10-3 SU in the league and 22-4 SU overall.  Wake Forest is 4-9 SU in the league and 12-14 SU overall.  The Fighting Irish are motivated by the prospects of finishing the season strong for their best seed in the upcoming NCAA Tourney.  For Wake Forest, the motivation is a winning season and invitation to post-season play, where they have not appeared in 5 years.  With each team possessing ample motivation, our real edge comes in the coaching personality profiles of Notre Dame HC Mike Brey and Wake Forest 1st year HC, Danny Manning.  

With the return to eligibility of PG Grant, Notre Dame is having an outstanding bounce back season from 15-17 SU of last year.  It was a rare season in which they did not win 20 or more games under 15th year mentor, Mike Brey.  This season, the Fighting Irish are one of the best offensive teams in the league.  They average 79 PPG on 51% from the field, 40% from the arc, convert 71% of their FTs and have a 15.1/9.2 assist/TO ratio.  Shooting guard Connaughton joins Grant as a potent perimeter duo.  But, the Fighting Irish have long struggled in this role.  In the last two seasons, Notre Dame is 4-15 ATS as home favorite.  This year, since January 1st, they have not posted a conference home win by more than 8 points, standing 1-4 ATS against the number on this court in 2015.  With 7 days off since their 60-58 win at Clemson, it may take them some time to find their rhythm.

This handicapper has found another Dangerous Underdog worth a NCAA Basketball Pick!

Wake Forest is a team on the rise under 1st year HC Danny Manning.  Manning is best known for leading Kansas and “the Miracles” to a NCAA championship in the late ‘80s vs. Oklahoma as 8 point underdog.  Since that time, Manning has patiently plyed his coaching time, first on the Kansas bench, then as head man at Tulsa.  This season, he landed the job as head man at Wake Forest.  The Demon Deacons had struggled for 4 years under the guidance of former HC Jeff Bzdelik.  In those 4 seasons, they had a combined 51 victories and no post-season appearances.   This season, Manning has slowly improved the team.  This can be reflected in their 10-4 ATS record since December 28th.  They are led by Codi Miller-McIntyre and the recent emergence of 7’ center, Konstantinos Mitoglou, who has averaged 18 PPG in the last 3 contests.  Though Wake has yet to capture a conference road victory in 6 tries, 3 of the losses (to Syracuse, Clemson and Virginia on Saturday) have been by 3 or less points, with a 4th being a double OT defeat.  No conference road loss has been by more than 14 points.  This team will have the confidence to defeat Notre Dame, having recorded wins of 65-58 and 81-69 against the Irish last season.

This is an improving live NCAA Basketball odds underdog at a double digit price, which has shown the ability to play competitively on the ACC road.  For Notre Dame, under Brey, it has been their MO to go for the victory, not for the throat!

NCAA Basketball Picks: Take Wake Forest +12 at Bovada