Upset Alert in Oregon vs. USC NCAA Basketball Picks: Trojans to Break Ducks' Winning Streak

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, February 11, 2015 2:31 PM GMT

Wednesday, Feb. 11, 2015 2:31 PM GMT

USC has the right type of defense to limit Oregon’s offense on its home floor, which makes it a dangerous college basketball underdog Wednesday night.

Still Fighting
Sports bettors need to be careful in fading USC as a 4.5-point home underdogs on college basketball odds due to its current eight-game losing streak, as four of those eight losses have come by four or fewer points. The Trojans will also be revenge-minded after suffering a 75-67 setback to the Ducks as 9.5-point road underdogs in the first meeting—falling behind 16-2 in the early going and never putting together a rally.

Entering the year, the program was 348th in the country in terms of experience, but certain members of the young roster are starting to put things together. Keep an eye on guard Jordan McLaughlin, who has tallied 99 assists to rank ninth on the school’s all-time list in that category for freshman, while he also looks to forget his 4-for-15 shooting performance in Eugene.

Keep an eye on guard Jordan McLaughlin, who has tallied 99 assists to rank ninth on the school’s all-time list in that category for freshman, while he also looks to forget his 4-for-15 shooting performance in Eugene.

 

On the Bubble
Oregon finds itself in a familiar place in being placed among a group of bubble teams to make the NCAA Tournament, as it landed a spot among the Field of 68 last year due to winning its final seven regular season games. The Ducks have a much more difficult road in trying to finish with that type of flourish in 2014-15, as five of its next seven games will be played away from Eugene.

It’s important to point out before making your NCAA Basketball pick that the squad has registered nine consecutive victories in this Pac-12 Conference rivalry—matching its longest ever win streak in the series.

 

Defending the Arc
The Trojans actually outshot the Ducks in the first meeting, but were outscored by a 25-11 margin from the charity stripe—a surprising number due to tonight’s visitor scoring just 17.4 percent of its points from that area on the year.

USC will likely get to the free throw line more often due to playing on its home floor the second time around, while it should handle Oregon’s perimeter weapons due to ranking 76th in the country in limiting foes to 31.8 percent shooting from beyond the arc.

 

Shooting Percentages
The Ducks are 15-0 when shooting a higher percentage than opponents this season, while they’ve dropped seven of nine games when losing that statistical battle. Even though USC ranks just 284th in effective field goal percentage, Oregon may find it tough to earn just its third win away from home, as it allows opponents to shoot 52.8 percent on the road.

 

Prediction
The Ducks current win streak in this series justifies it being a betting favorite, but the Trojans have covered the number in two of three games under the direction of Andy Enfield. USC continues that trend in this spot, with the underdog improving to 23-9 ATS in the last 32 meetings in this series.

NCAA Basketball Pick: USC Trojans +4.5 at The Greek

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