Upset Alert! Grab The Points As Your NCAA Basketball Pick In Texas A&M vs. Arkansas

Willie Bee

Wednesday, January 27, 2016 12:59 PM GMT

Is Texas A&M in a look-ahead spot Wednesday night when the Aggies are favored on the NCAA basketball odds on the SEC highway against the Arkansas Razorbacks?

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Free NCAA Basketball Pick: Arkansas +3
Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

 

There was a time long, long ago that the Texas A&M Aggies and Arkansas Razorbacks were the class of their conference on the hardwood. I can recall a time that freshmen and sophomores at A&M would have a hard time getting a ticket to sit in old G. Rollie White Coliseum when the Hogs came to College Station.

That time was two conferences ago when the Razorbacks were coached by Eddie Sutton and featured star players such as Sydney Moncrief while the Aggies were led by Dr. Shelby Metcalf with Sonny Parker on the floor.

This season, only Texas A&M is a contender for a league crown, the two schools now both residing in the Southeastern Conference, and the Aggies will be looking to continue a perfect start in the SEC when they visit Arkansas on Wednesday. Tip-off at Bud Walton Arena is a little past 7 PM (ET) with ESPNU providing the telecast.

Bookmaker sent this one out with Texas A&M laying 3½, that spread dropping a half-point overnight while the early total is 150½. Let's see who we choose for our Wednesday's college basketball pick.

 

Home Court Has Been Huge In Series
The two old Southwest Conference foes got their SEC schedules going against each other on College Station nearly four weeks ago, and it was all Texas A&M in a 92-69 rout. After a tight battle the initial 10 minutes of the contest, the Aggies started to pull away to take a 19 point lead into intermission, coasting to an easy cover as 11 point home favorites on the NCAA basketball odds.

Jalen Jones had a career-best 28 to lead Texas A&M while Tonny Trocha-Morales came off the bench to record a double-double with 10 points and 10 rebounds. The Aggies shot nearly 50% from the field, connecting on 11-of-26 attempts from long range, and Arkansas shot just under 41%.

The win for A&M continued a trend in the series that has seen the home team win each of the five matchups as SEC opponents. The Razorbacks took down the Aggies last year in Fayetteville, 81-75, just missing the cover as 7½ point home chalk. Texas A&M has covered all five SEC encounters, and the last six overall dating to an interconference affair in December 2010.

 

Will Davis Be 100% For Aggies?
Texas A&M (17-2 straight up, 7-5-2 against the spread) has been on a roll since losing just its second game of the season in early-December, a 67-54 loss at Arizona State. The Aggies have strung together 10 consecutive wins following that defeat, the last seven on the SEC slate and another before that in easy fashion against then-No. 16 Baylor. Their effort has been rewarded with a No. 5 ranking in both polls, the highest the A&M program has ever been.

They had to beat Missouri at home last Saturday without key big man Tyler Davis, the freshman sitting out with an injured left foot. Davis is not listed on the injury report this week and is expected to play against Arkansas. Even with him in the lineup, head coach Billy Kennedy is going to have to prevent his team from looking ahead to a big matchup at home against Iowa State this Saturday, the Cyclones No. 14/16 and already proven to be giant killers.

One thing we know about Arkansas (9-10 SU, 8-6-1 ATS) is the Razorbacks will press and harass the Aggies the entire 40 minutes. Mike Anderson's squad is top 50 in the country averaging nearly 8 steals per game, and with Moses Kingsley leading the way, the Hogs are also top 20 in blocks (5.6 bpg).

I smell an outright upset in this one, so will gladly take the 3 points on the Hogs for my free NCAA basketball pick.

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