Underdog Value: Two Under The Radar NCAA Basketball Picks On Thursday’s Slate

Ross Benjamin

Thursday, February 4, 2016 5:57 PM GMT

Thursday, Feb. 4, 2016 5:57 PM GMT

Our college basketball expert Ross Benjamin has gone 13-8-1 ATS the last nine betting days with his underdog NCAA basketball picks. Go inside for Thursday’s two best plays.

Towson State vs. Charleston 7:05 PM ET
Towson has gone 3-0 in its last three and 5-1 during its previous six games. The only defeat in that sequence came at home versus Charleston 40-37. Towson shot a pathetic 23.9% from the floor in that contest, yet still lost by just a narrow 3 point margin. Despite that dismal shooting performance, over their last five outings they’ve converted on an outstanding 45.3% of their three point attempts, averaged 33 free throw attempts per contest, and were at a +9 rebound per game differential. This is also a Towson club which has gone a stellar 6-3 in true road games this season.

Charleston has been anemic offensively in its past five games. During that stretch they’ve averaged 57.1 points scored per game, shot just 38.1% from the field, and averaged a paltry 12 free throw attempts per contest.

The combination of Towson’s success on the road this season, in addition to playing with revenge, and I like the away underdog for one of my Thursday college basketball picks.

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Free NCAA Basketball Pick: Towson +3.5
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

 

UT-Arlington vs. Georgia Southern 7:30 PM ET
On paper, Arlington has clearly had a better year thus far than Georgia Southern. However, the last I checked games aren’t played on paper, they transpire on a basketball court. The confidence level of teams is a factor that’s often overlooked in regards to any facet of sports handicapping. Due to this specific miscellaneous factor, I give Georgia Southern a decided edge over Arlington pertaining to Thursday’s game.

Arlington began the season by going 13-2 in its first 15 games. Since then, they’ve gone 1-4 SU&ATS in their last five contests, and that includes 0-3 SU&ATS during the previous three. In addition, they’re 0-3 SU&ATS in its last three away games. Arlington has struggled offensively over their past five games, shooting a miserable 38.8% from the field during that stretch. During the same time span, Arlington allowed opponents to convert on a red-hot 40.8% of their three point attempts, and the opposition averaged a lofty 25 free throw attempts per contest.

Georgia Southern has gone 3-2 in its last five games, and was a perfect 5-0 ATS during those contests. Despite their poor 8-12 overall record, Georgia Southern is playing with more confidence at this juncture than they’ve had at any other point of the season.

Current NCAA basketball odds posted at Heritage provide me with a best combination of number and price for this specific NCAA basketball pick.

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Free NCAA Basketball Pick: Georgia Southern +5
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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