Underdog Upset: Oklahoma Our NCAA Basketball Pick vs. West Virginia

Swinging Johnson

Saturday, February 20, 2016 2:54 PM GMT

The Big 12 features a top ten clash as the Sooners travel to West Virginia to take on the Mountaineers. Let's peruse the college basketball odds and cash a winner this afternoon.

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NCAA Basketball Picks: Oklahoma +4½ & Oklahoma +175 ML
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

 

Oklahoma Sooners (20-5 SU, 10-13 ATS)
At one point this season the Sooners were revered as owning one of the most prolific offenses in all of college basketball. Those days seem like eons ago as Oklahoma has recently struggled to put points on the board and despite being installed as favorites in their last four games they have lost three straight up and have failed to cover the NCAA basketball odds in all four. Over that duration the Sooners have failed to score in the 70's in all but one of those occasions. If this offensive funk extends through this afternoon, culminating in yet another loss, Oklahoma could find themselves spiraling from the No. 3 ranked team in the nation to out of the top ten.

In their last outing the Sooners dropped their fifth game of the season to a Texas Tech team that has become giant slayers of sorts. Oklahoma was installed as four-point road favorites to the Red Raiders that had already defeated two Top 25 teams and was looking to make it three. Once again the Sooners proved to be a money burner for all those who blindly believed they would round back into form and included them in their NCAA basketball picks. When the final buzzer sounded Oklahoma ambled out of Lubbock with a 65-63 defeat in tow.

 

West Virginia (20-6 SU, 14-9 ATS)
The Mountaineers have been fairly decent as the season winds down winning and covering in five of their last eight. West Virginia also has the distinction of knocking off the then top ranked team in the nation Kansas with a 74-63 victory as one-point home dogs back on January 12th. This is a gritty group that can hang and bang with any team in the country. However their last game was not one of those inspiring performances. Tuesday night the team traveled to Austin to take on the Texas Longhorns and were unable to contain the long-range bomb dropping coming from the Texas snipers. The Mountaineers played catch-up throughout but did close to within six points after being down by as many as 16 in the second half. It was all for naught however as Texas handed the visitors an 85-78 loss.

Junior guard Tarik Phillip led the Mountaineers with 19 points off the bench while starter Devin Williams bucketed 18 points and 12 boards in the losing effort. Sophomore Daxter Miles was sidelined with a hamstring injury and was replaced by Teyvon Myers who ended the game with only six points in 19 minutes of work. The Mountaineers are averaging 80 points per game which ranks them 31st in the nation while defensively they are allowing 65.6 PPG good for 44th in the country.

 

Betting Analysis
These Big 12 foes met a month ago in Norman, Oklahoma where the Sooners took a 70-68 decision but failed to cover the number as 4½ point home chalk. But now the venue has shifted to Morgantown where the Mountaineers have won and covered the past two meetings with the Sooners.

But here is the thing we should focus on. First the Sooners' scoring drought will not continue. Oklahoma is shooting 46.4 percent from the field and leads the nation with a 43.6 percent mark from three-point range but have hit only 38.6 percent from the field and 30.7 from beyond the arc during the last four game stretch of woe. This will not continue because the triumvirate of Buddy Hield, Jordan Woodard and Isaiah Cousins are shooting 48.8, 46.7 and 44.8 percent from downtown. Over the course of the last four games they have combined to shoot just 33.8 percent from three-point land.

Most importantly West Virginia's Daxter Miles Jr. and Jaysean Paige may not play in this one due to injuries. They were largely responsible for shutting down Oklahoma's long range attack in the first meeting and even if they do play they will not be one hundred percent. It is only a matter of time before the Sooners find their stroke and this is as good a time as any especially with West Virginia's key defenders ailing or out entirely. Don't be at all surprised if the Sooners win outright!