Underdog NCAA Basketball Picks: Three Sparkling Gems For Today

Ross Benjamin

Tuesday, March 1, 2016 4:16 PM GMT

Our college basketball analyst shares his three top underdog picks on Tuesday’s card. He’s been a red-hot 7-2 with his underdog picks over the past four betting days.

Virginia vs. Clemson 7:00 PM ET
Virginia enters the final week of regular season action entangled in a four way battle for ACC Supremacy. They’re last two games have been against North Carolina and Miami. Those are two of the four teams contending for the top spot. The other is Louisville, and Virginia will host the Cardinals in their season finale. Sandwiched between those three contests is Tuesday’s game at Clemson, and this appears to be a very dangerous spot for the Cavaliers. In addition, Virginia is just 3-5 in ACC road games this season.

Clemson still has their eye on a possible NCAA Tournament at-large-bid. A win against #4 ranked Virginia tonight would go a long way toward building their case. The Tigers have gone 7-1 in ACC home games this season, and that includes 4-0 SU&ATS when installed as an underdog. They’ve been stout defensively on their home floor, allowing just 57.8 points per game, holding opponents to a paltry 38.2% shooting, and that always bodes well for a team in an underdog role.

Current NCAA basketball odds provide me with a best combination of number and price for this wager.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2936673, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,93,19,92,238,169], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]
NCAA Basketball Pick: Clemson +5
Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

 

Baylor vs. Oklahoma 8:00 PM ET
Oklahoma has struggled down the final stretch of regular season action. The Sooners are 2-3 in its last five and 3-4 during their previous seven games. After being one of the best shooting teams in the country for most of the season, Oklahoma’s perimeter game has abandoned them a bit of late, and that factor can be directly linked to their recent inconsistencies. The Sooners have shot less than 40% in four of their last five games.

The Baylor Bears have been road warriors in BIG-12 play. After losing their initial conference road game, Baylor has gone 6-1 SU&ATS in its next seven, and that includes 3-0 SU&ATS during their previous three. Unlike Tuesday’s opponent, Baylor has shot the ball extremely well of late. During their previous five games, they’re shooting 49.0%, and have converted on an exceptional 43.5% of its three point attempts. They’ve also compiled an extremely impressive +10 rebound per game differential over those last five contests.

Oklahoma was a 10 point winner at Waco, Texas in the first meeting between these two teams. The Sooners shot an off the charts 62% in that contest, and made an enormous 16 three-point shots. Based on how they’ve shot the ball lately, it’s highly improbable they will come anywhere near those phenomenal numbers this time around. I’m siding with the sizable road underdog for one of my Tuesday NCAA basketball picks.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2936676, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,93,19,92,238,169], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]
NCAA Basketball Pick: Baylor +7.5 
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

 

Utah State vs. Air Force 9:00 PM ET
This is by far the weakest Utah State Aggies team we’ve witnessed in recent memory. They’re no longer invincible at home, and have been awful on the road of late. The Aggies are 0-5 in its last five road games, and that includes a terrible 1-4 ATS. That dismal mark can’t be ignored considering they’re a road favorite this evening.

Air Force got off to a horrendous start to Mountain West Conference play. However, they’ve shown signs of life down this final stretch of regular season action. As a matter of fact, Air Force is 4-0 SU&ATS in its last four home games, and all of those wins came as an underdog. The Falcons are also a very profitable 6-1 ATS during their previous seven games overall.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2936682, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,93,19,92,238,169], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]
NCAA Basketball Pick: Air Force +4.5 
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline