Two Early Game NCAA Basketball Picks To Start Your Saturday On A Winning Note

Ross Benjamin

Saturday, March 5, 2016 1:47 PM GMT

Saturday, Mar. 5, 2016 1:47 PM GMT

Our college basketball analyst starts your Saturday off with two premium totals picks. Go inside to grab yourself the best NCAA basketball picks to win.

Old Dominion Monarchs vs Rice Owls
Rice has averaged 79.2 points per game and shot a sizzling hot 49.3% over its last five contests. Unfortunately their defensive performance during that same time frame has left a lot to be desired. They’ve permitted their opponents to score 81.0 points per game, shoot 48.3% from the floor, and convert on an alarming 43.9% of its three point attempts in those five contests. Rice has gone 13-3 over the total in its last 16 games.

Old Dominion hasn’t been an explosive offensive team this season, but you’d never know it in recent games. The Monarchs have averaged 76.0 points per contest, and shot 48.3% during its previous three games.

Old Dominion is coming off a 76-70 road win against North Texas in their previous game, and they failed to cover as a 7.0 point favorite. That win improved their record to 18-12 (.600) on the season. Rice is coming off an 88-75 loss to Charlotte in their previous outing. That defeat dropped their record to 12-18. This sets up a very successful college basketball handicapping algorithm that I’ve illustrated below.

Any road team (Old Dominion) with a total of 140.0 to 149.5, coming off a road win in which they failed to cover as a favorite, possessing a .600 to .800 win percentage, versus an opponent (Rice) with a losing record, resulted in those games going 24-3 (88.7%) over the total since 1997. The average total in those 27 contests was 144.7, and there was a combined average of 157.0 points scored per game. As a matter of fact, this exact betting algorithm has gone a perfect 9-0 over the total during the past five seasons.

Relative to the current total, this game sets up to be a high scoring affair, and one of my Saturday NCAA basketball picks will follow suit.

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NCAA Basketball Pick: Over 140.5
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

 

Auburn Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs
Auburn has gone 8-3 under the total in their last eleven games. The Tigers have shot 40% or less in fourteen of their previous sixteen outings. They’ve made just 63% of their free throw attempts this season, and that includes a dismal 60.3% over its last five contests.

Mississippi State has seen five of their last seven games stay under the total. The Bulldogs have been stellar defensively at home this season by limiting its opponents to a paltry 39.5% shooting. They’ve averaged only 16 free throw attempts per game over their previous five contests.

The current NCAA basketball odds boards at BetCRIS has a posted total of 147.0 on this contest. I’ll have a strong lean toward this contest being a low scoring game.

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NCAA Basketball Pick: Under 147
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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