Tuesday NCAAB Odds: Purdue's Inside Presence to Dominate Arizona State

Purdue Basketball Player

Mark Lathrop

Tuesday, December 6, 2016 4:10 PM GMT

The No. 18 Purdue Boilermakers have two big men whom our NCAA basketball handicapper believes can control their non-conference game against Arizona State on Tuesday night at the Jimmy V. Classic in New York.

Not perfect, but another winning weekend is in the books for me in NCAA basketball. This week we have an interesting slate of neutral-site games with the onset of the Jimmy V. Classic in Madison Square Garden in New York. On Tuesday night, the action begins with the No. 18 Boilermakers (6-2) matching up with the 5-3 Sun Devils. The Boilermakers have the ranking and thus the backing of NCAA basketball oddsmakers, being placed as 11-point favorites on the neutral floor. Each team has had success scoring so far this season, so the O/U total is relatively high at 156 at BookMaker.

The Boilermakers have a great inside-out offensive attack, with two established big men on the inside and outside shooters who are hotter than Hades. On the inside, they have the two scoring leaders of the team in 6-foot-9 sophomore forward Caleb Swanigan (17.5 pts, 11.5 rebounds per game) and 7-2 junior center Isaac Haas (14.8 points, 4.9 rebounds per game). Obviously, when you are averaging a double-double like Swanigan is you are going to get a lot of attention from opposing team. That is where the outside shooting comes in, as Purdue is 5th in college basketball in 3-point percentage at 43.3% and has 4 players with more than 10 attempts shooting 50% or better on the year. As a defense, you have to pick your poison.

That was the comment directly out of the mouth of the coach of their last opponent, as Purdue spanked Morehead State 90-56 in a game that was over before halftime. Purdue shot 55.7% from the field in that game and 15-for-29 for beyond the arc.

Not only matching Purdue in their last game in 3-pointers made, Arizona State exceeded that high mark by sinking 18 of them Saturday against UNLV. That 24-point win as a 7-point favorite on NCAA basketball picks came just a few days after the Sun Devils were handed one of their worst losses in decades, a 115-69 embarrassment against Kentucky. The win against UNLV broke a streak of 5 straight ATS losses for Arizona State, as they sit 2-5 ATS on the season.

Arizona State has 3 undersized guards who are leading the team in scoring with 17 to 17.5 points per game. Their one big man, 6-8 senior forward Obinna Oleka, is averaging a double-double at 11.9 and 10 rebounds per game.

This is a classic mismatch in size, which will affect Arizona State negatively on both sides of the ball. ASU averages 85 points per game but has put up those stats against defenses allowing an average of 10 points more than the Boilermakers. Purdue should be able to control this game from beginning to end. Season record: 8-2 (+5.80 units).

NCAAB Free Pick: Purdue -11Best Line Offered: BookMaker

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