Trio of NCAA Basketball Picks to Go Over Game Totals on Wednesday

Matthew Jordan

Wednesday, February 25, 2015 4:14 PM UTC

Wednesday, Feb. 25, 2015 4:14 PM UTC

Here are 3 under-the-radar game totals from NCAA basketball odds that caught my interest  from Wednesday's busy schedule featuring Eight Top-25 games.

Youngstown State vs. Oakland (158.5 at sportsbooks)
Why am I including this seemingly meaningless Horizon League game among my three choices? Because that total of 158.5 is by far and away the highest on the BetOnline board and it's not even close. The next closest is 146 between Washington State and USC. Youngstown State (11-18, 2-12) is one of the worst teams in the Horizon League and currently in the basement. The main reason why is that the Penguins are one of the worst defensive teams in the nation, ranking 337th in allowing 74.2 points per game. They aren't bad on offense, averaging 71.6. With 985 career points, junior Bobby Hain needs 15 to become the 36th YSU player to score 1,000 points in a career. He's second on the team in scoring at 14.7 points per game. Oakland (15-14, 10-4) plays its regular-season  home finale in this one and has won 10 straight at home. The Golden Grizzlies average 74.0 points per game but also are wretched defensively, giving up 74.4 points per game. When Oakland visited Youngstown  State on Feb. 1, it was predictably high-scoring as the Golden Grizzlies won 96-80. Hain had 26 in a loss for YSU, while Cory Petros had 21 to lead Oakland.

NCAAB Free Pick: 'Over.' The 'over' is 12-5 in the Penguins' past 17 overall. It is 7-1 in Oakland's past eight and 5-0 in the past five meetings.


Bradley vs. Missouri State (116.5 on NCAA Basketball odds)
While the above game has the  highest total on the board, this Missouri Valley Conference matchup between Bradley and Missouri State is at the other end of the spectrum. Neither team is playing postseason basketball other than the MVC Tournament. Bradley (8-21, 3-13) has lost four straight games and wasn't able to top 54 points in any of them. The Braves were held to just 39 last Saturday in a 17-point defeat at ranked Northern Illinois; Bradley had only seven points in the first 12:37 of the second half and finished with 16 total after intermission. The Braves are now 1-13 in road or neutral court games this season. They rank 344th nationally in scoring (57.1 ppg) and 345th in field-goal percentage (37.9). Missouri State (10-18, 4-12) was held to 35 points a few games ago at Wichita State and managed only 43 in a 35-point loss at Drake on Sunday. This is the team's home finale and the Bears are 29-3 in their past 32 Senior Night games. Missouri State also struggles offensively, ranking No. 332 in points (59.7) and 303rd in shooting (40.5 percent). When these two met on Jan. 24 at Bradley, the Braves won 61-59. Missouri State has won five straight at home in the series.

NCAAB Free Pick: 'Over' that crazy low total even though most trends point to 'under.'


Fresno State vs. Wyoming (120.5 at Pinnacle)
I'm a bit surprised that the various NCAA Tournament field projections don't include Wyoming even as a bubble team as the Cowboys are a very solid 21-6 overall and 10-4 in the Mountain West Conference. True, they didn't have a single quality non-conference win, losing at California and SMU. They are 0-2 against the MWC's best team, San Diego State, but did beat another NCAA Tournament possibility in Boise State. The big news for Wyoming here is the team's best player, senior forward Larry Nance Jr., the son of the former NBA All-Star, will return after missing four games with a mild case of mononucleosis. Nance leads the team in scoring (16.3 points) and rebounding (7.2). The Cowboys were 2-2 without him. Wyoming is a great defensive team, ranking sixth nationally in points allowed (55.2 per game), but struggle offensively at No. 300 (62.0 per game). Fresno State (12-15, 7-7) enters on a two-game losing streak, allowing 85 points to Utah State and 81 to Colorado State. FSU's star is Marvelle Harris, who is third in the MWC in scoring at 18.0 ppg in conference action.  Harris ranks No. 18 on Fresno State's all-time scoring list. Fresno lost at home to then-No. 25 Wyoming 70-65 in triple overtime. Nance Jr. had 21 points, including the go-ahead score in the third OT. The Cowboys had lost all nine previous road games in Fresno. Wyoming is 8-1 when playing the Bulldogs in Laramie. Keep all of this in mind before placing your NCAA Basketball pick

NCAAB Free Pick: Go 'over' with the return of Nance Jr. The 'over' is 4-1 in Fresno's past five games and 4-0 in Wyoming's past four. 

comment here