Top-Ranked Villanova to Flatten Seton Hall on Super Sunday

Doug Upstone

Sunday, February 4, 2018 1:12 PM UTC

Sunday, Feb. 4, 2018 1:12 PM UTC

After crushing Creighton 98-78 as 14-point home favorites Thursday, No.1 Villanova appears as formidable as ever. Will the Wildcats keep the train rolling early on Super Bowl Sunday?

College Basketball Sunday: Seton Hall vs. VillanovaFree Basketball Pick: Villanova -13Best Line Offered: Pinnacle

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Seton Hall is in fourth place in the Big East with a 6-3 record (5-4 ATS) and realistically, their only chance to engineer an upset or at least cover the spread is by playing formidable defense. That sounds easier than it is because of how well Villanova shoots the ball, which we will discuss shortly.

Coach Jay Wright's Wildcats opened as -13 point favorites according to the latest college basketball odds. This Big East battle will start at high noon ET.

Pirates Try and Steal One

Seton Hall is 17-5 this season (11-11 ATS) and has really only lost to one bad team and that was Rutgers in the middle of December. (Though the 20-point loss at Marquette was not pretty.) The Pirates feature a terrific trio in Desi Rodriguez (17.3 PPG), Khadeen Carrington (14.2) and double-double machine Angel Delgado (13.2 and 12.1 RPG). Blending nicely with these three seniors is sophomore sharp-shooter Myles Powell, who averages 14.5 PPG and connects on 41.3 percent of his attempts behind the arc.

Seton Hall averages 78 PPG, but it will be how they play defense that will matter. The Pirates are 3-3 SU and ATS on the road and they concede 78 PPG in the away uniforms. That will not cut against an offense Villanova, unless they shoot 60 percent and make a dozen or more three's.

Villanova's Offense is a Thing of Beauty

While we can discuss the merits of the Wildcats defense and rebounding from time to time, there is no doubting how good this Villanova offense is. Nova averages 88.3 PPG and is sixth nationally in field-goal percentage accuracy at 51 percent. The 'Cats are also seventh in three-point percentage at 41.8.

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— Villanova Memes (@NovaBBallMemes) January 29, 2017
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As good as those numbers are, they are even better in Big East action. Wright's marksmen are hitting 63 percent inside the arc and 43 percent when releasing shots behind the line. If you are into more advanced metric, there is a statistic called Effective Field Goal Percentage, which adjusts field-goal percentage to account for the fact that three-point field goals count for three points, while field goals only count for two points. If you go to TeamRankings.com, you will find Villanova at No.1 at 60.7 percent. The last team to be over 60 percent was Samford, 13 years ago.

With all the shooters and exceptional ball movement, the Wildcats offense can be unstoppable.

Watch Out For These 'Cats at Home

For my college basketball picks, I'm going to play the numbers. Villanova averages 91.4 PPG at home, where they are 8-0 and 5-3 ATS. Seton Hall scores 74.5 PPG in away contests and if you subtract that versus what the Wildcats score, the difference is 16.9. Sometimes it is best not to complicate handicapping games.

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