About halfway through the NCAA basketball season now, and still some sportsbooks haven’t caught up to some major trends in totals so far. The most lopsided totals trends have come with results favoring the 'under.' We love lists, so let’s take a look at the top five teams cashing 'unders' with regularity.
The Golden Eagles rank 206th in the country in scoring per game and are nearly dead last in 3-point percentage at 31.9%. Not all their games are lined, but when they are Tennessee Tech underperforms their season scoring averages drastically. The Golden Eagles reeled off 10 straight 'unders' in a row going into their Jan. 10 matchup with SE Missouri State, the first 'over' of the season. Their two leading scorers are undersized guards, so look for the 'unders' to keep cashing on NCAA basketball picks if the Golden Eagles come up against backcourts with size.
Oakland Golden Grizzlies: Horizon, 14-3 SU, 8-6 ATS, 2-11 O/U
What’s the deal with having “Golden” in your mascot name and the inability to hit 'overs'? Oakland can score points just fine, averaging 78.8 on the year. The Grizzlies been hitting 'unders' because allow the 14th-best defensive field-goal percentage in the country at 38.1. Their O/U lines are commonly in the 150s, yet the Golden Grizzlies average just over 66 points per game. That’s a recipe for success in winning straight up, as well as hitting 'unders.'
Louisville Cardinals: ACC, 14-3 SU, 10-4 ATS, 3-11 O/U
The Louisville Cardinals are on this list for one reason only: their stellar defense. They are 16th in the country in points allowed per game in 61.9 and are Top 10 in both field goal and 3-point percentages allowed. In a bit of a normalizing trend, the Cardinals have hit 2 of 3 'overs' after their Jan. 11 game against Pittsburgh as the NCAA basketball lines have started to adjust lower. It will be interesting to see if sportsbooks continue to react to this O/U trend for one of the most well-known programs in the country.
Alabama Crimson Tide: SEC, 9-6 SU, 6-7 ATS, 3-10 O/U
When you combine the 289th-ranked offense in the country with the 19th-ranked defense, you are going to hit some 'unders.' The Crimson Tide continue to prove that defense is not just limited to the football field in Tuscaloosa. The last two 'overs' have followed a five-game 'under' streak, and with the last game coming in 'over' the listed total, form would tell us that we are due to go 'under' the listed total again soon.
Colorado Buffaloes: Pac-12, 10-6 ATS, 5-10 ATS, 4-11 O/U
Colorado rebounds well and limits opponents to just 32% from behind the arc while only shooting 32.8% from 3-point range itself. After a 9-game 'under' streak, the Buffs' Arizona swing garnered them two recent 'overs' to break their strong trend. They have a strong defense under the basket and one of the best shot blockers in the country in Wesley Gordon. With 2 out of 3 conference games going 'over' the listed total already, I’d look for this trend to start reversing itself during the second half of the season.