While Sunday is the slow night of NCAA College Basketball, people take it for granted, and there still are a couple of hidden gems where the betting totals are concerned to add to your betting picks.
Purdue Boilermakers (19-9, 11-4) vs. Ohio State Buckeyes (20-8, 9-6)
Owning the Big-Ten
While Purdue has had a relatively good season, Ohio State is the team that can serve up the Boilermakers their 10th loss of the season. With that said, Purdue has been dominant in inter-conference play and that will get them into the NCAA Tournament whether they win or lose tonight.
I believe a loss here would be more damaging to the Buckeyes. These teams know eachother very well. On February 4th, Purdue defeated Ohio State in a low-scoring 50-48 battle. This is kind of surprising as the Buckeyes are a team that excels on the offensive end of the court, averaging 77.4 points per game and Purdue is averaging 71.6 points. Purdue has been the hotter team as of late, winning 4 consecutive games and erupting for 92 points in their last game against Rutgers. NCAA basketball odds show a betting total of 134, which seems quite low in this game.
One and Done?
The Buckeyes are led by Freshman, D'Angelo Russell, who is having an outstanding season. For the season, Russell leads the Buckeyes at 18.7 points, 5.7 rebounds, 5.4 assists, 1.6 steals, and 42.7% from 3-point range.
Those are some massive numbers and OSU will need every bit of them in a crucial game. That said, Russell, who is a respectable 46% shooter from the field for the season, has been off the mark as of late and he couldn't have picked a worse time. In his last 4 games, Russell has shot 17 for 50 from the field. Senior, Sam Thompson, has somewhat picked up the slack, shooting over 50% in each of his last 4 games and is averaging 14.5 points per game during that period of time. Against Nebraska, Thompson was a perfect 3 for 3 from beyond the arc. OSU is a high scoring team, but if Russell is off, there could be problems where the point total is concerned.
Purdue is a team with no definitive go to guy, but possess 10 players that average 10 minutes or more per game and have 6 players that average 8 points or more. Although not as good as Kentucky, this is the type of offensive scheme that the Wildcats play; they feed the hot player. Thus far it has worked well in the conference and I see no reason for it not work here after they crushed an ill-prepared Rutgers team. Look for an easy over in this game.
Free NCAA Basketball Pick: Over 134 at 5Dimes
Arizona State Sun Devils (15-13, 7-8) vs. Colorado Buffaloes (12-15, 5-10)
I was going to suggest that Arizona State run the table in hopes of making the Big Dance, but that's clearly not going to happen after they got destroyed by Utah 83-41. While it's true that Utah hasn't lost a game at home all season, your team doesn't belong at the Big Dance if you get doubled up by another team. ASU was on a 3 game winning streak, averaging in the mid- 60's before the Utah game, but they could suffer some after shock, even against a team as poor as Colorado.
Colorado is also coming off of an embarrassing loss, as they were defeated by Arizona, 82-54. Even though ASU is the better basketball team thats "mathematically alive" (not including the Pac-12 Tournament), Colorado is the team with the only game changer in this game in Askia Booker.
Booker is one of those players that has never met a shot that he didn't like. While averaging 16.9 points per game and being an outstanding defensive player, Booker is shooting a dismal 38.9% from the field. We take it a step further; in Booker's last 5 games, he's shooting just 21 of 77 from the field. Booker is still the type of player that can produce 20 points like he did against Oregon when he shot 5 of 17 from the field and feasted off of the free throw line.
I look at the Sun Devils, but I don't see much offense coming from Gerry Blakes (11.3 ppg.) and Savon Goodman (10.7 ppg.). Both players have been ineffective as of late and although ASU might win the game, they will suit the bettors well if you take the under as your college basketball pick.
Free NCAA Basketball Pick: Under 131.5 at 5 Dimes