Top NCAA Basketball Pick Against the Spread: Dec. 31st

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, December 31, 2014 2:13 PM UTC

Wednesday, Dec. 31, 2014 2:13 PM UTC

Villanova has dominated opponents at home this season, which makes it a top college basketball pick against Butler to open up Big East Conference play Wednesday.

Not Measuring Up
Butler has gone 10-3 SU and 7-4 ATS through 13 games of the 2014-15 campaign, which can’t be ignored when looking over the NCAA basketball odds, but it has dropped eight of its last nine contests against top-25 opponents.

The Bulldogs were selected in a tie for seventh in the Big East preseason poll, as they prepare to play the league’s defending champion and favorite to repeat.

Sports bettors will find that the squad dropped both meetings a season ago, including a 67-48 defeat as 15-point road underdogs on Feb. 26—knocking down just 15 of 49 shots from the field.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the program is 10-20 SU and 16-13-1 ATS when receiving points.


Fast Start
Villanova’s 12-0 start is tied with two other seasons for the second best in school history, which is important to consider when making your NCAA basketball picks, as it looks to improve to 6-0 at The Pavilion.

The Wildcats enjoyed a magnificent home-court advantage a year ago—winning all 12 games at this venue by an average of 22.3 points.

Since the 1994-95 campaign, the squad is a dominating 203-29 inside the building on Ithan Avenue, while it has covered the number in 24 of its last 35 contests in that situation.


Getting Stops
The Bulldogs have a chance of grabbing the cash as a double-digit road underdog, as they lead the Big East and rank 16th nationally in surrendering just 56.2 points per game.

Butler sits behind just 21 teams in limiting opponents to 28.1 percent shooting from beyond the arc—an important piece of real estate to defend when facing a balanced attack that gets 27.9 percent of its point production from that area.


That 70’s Show
The Wildcats have put together a dominating 36-1 SU record when scoring 70 or more points since the start of last season, including a perfect 11-0 mark this year.

A total of seven Villanova players average between 7.6 and 12.6 points per game, with that group accounting for 77.9 points a contest.  

Keep an eye on leading scorer Darrun Hilliard early on, as he’s listed as probable on the injury report after missing the team’s last game with a concussion.


I’m going to recommend that readers back the Wildcats as their College Basketball Pick, as they’ve gone 46-21 ATS in their last 67 overall games.

Free NCAA Basketball Pick:  Villanova Wildcats -10.5 at Pinnacle Sports

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