Thursday's Odds Movement & Top Betting Trends for Sports Picks

Doug Upstone

Thursday, March 12, 2015 7:27 PM GMT

The March Madness continues against the betting odds and placing sports picks versus the sportsbooks. College basketball is taking center stage, but NBA bettors also interested in tonight’s big battle. 

Like we say every day, understanding line moves can build your bankroll. (423-374 L149D)

 

NBA – Bucks vs. Pacers  7:05 ET  FS-WI, FS-IN
My initial reaction to the total rising from 185.5 to 187.5 was a surprise. Neither team really fits a profile of more points being scored or allowed. Yesterday, we correctly had the right Under call on Milwaukee, who is averaging just over 90 points a game since trading Brandon Knight and is below 90 points in their past six away games. The Indiana defense has been strangling opposing offenses, allowing an average of only 83.0 points during its six-game streak. So why would anyone ignore the Pacers are 15-5 UNDER after four or more consecutive wins since last season? I have no idea! 

NBA Pick: Play Under 189 at Pinnacle

 

NBA – Cavaliers vs. Spurs 9:35 ET  TNT (side and total)
Though March Madness typically refer to college and high school basketball, this NBA matchup is certainly will attract ample of attention on this day for those placing NBA picks. Originally, this was a Pick, but the wagering public has over 70 percent backing on LeBron James and his teammates, with their 22-5 and 19-8 ATS after starting 19-20. Though both can score in bunches, the thought is defense will play a larger overall part and the total has sunk two points to 206.5. I’m going against the public here since the Spurs have won 10 straight over Cleveland (7-2-1 ATS), however, I’ll give the masses a nod on the total. 

NBA Pick: Leans on San Antonio and Under

 

College Hoops – USC vs. UCLA  5:30 ET  PAC-12N
This will be the third tilt between the City of Angels rivals and a surprise one at that with USC ousting Arizona State yesterday. College basketball handicappers are quick to acknowledge a pair of UCLA double digit victories, the latter just eight days ago. This realization has led to the Bruins trending upwards from -8.5 to -10. No question UCLA has the superior talent, but the Trojans have been more competitive of late at 7-3 ATS, including covering three in a row. With the increase in the number, it’s worth noting the Bruins are 0-7 ATS away from Pauley Pavilion after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season. 

NCAA Basketball Picks – Slight lean USC

 

College Hoops –  Utah State vs. Wyoming  5:30 ET  CBSSN
Eight days ago, the Wyoming Cowboys went behind the woodshed and laid a Rece Davis “old fashion butt whuppin” on Utah State, 75-53 as 6.5-point home favorites in NCAA Basketball Odds. This was right after the Aggies were on a 6-0 SU and ATS spin. Utah State went on to lose their home final to Colorado State which has led to bettors adjusting the college basketball odds on the Aggies from +2 to +3.5. These MWC clubs spilt two games and my sense is these teams are pretty evenly matched and taking the points in the prudent thing to do. 

NCAA Basketball Picks: Lean Utah State

 

College Hoops – CAL-POLY vs.  UC-Santa Barbara 11:30 ET  FS-PT
In this Big West quarterfinal, the line move is predicated on the current state of each team. Cal-Poly closed the regular season 0-4 SU and ATS and has gone from +3.5 to +5.5. UC-Santa Barbara is on a five-game tear and winners of eight of nine (6-3 ATS) and has won and covered both times versus their conference rival. Cal-Poly only average 60.8 points a contest and is 2-11 ATS after scoring 65 points or less in three straight games the last two seasons. When making our NCAA Basketball Picks tonight, we expect one-way action in the conference nightcap. 

NCAA Basketball Picks – UCSB covers

 

Sportsbook Review Tasty Trends

NBA ATS Trend: New York is 10-23 ATS after three or more consecutive losses this season. 

CBB ATS Trend: Oregon is 10-0 ATS after five straight games committing 14 or less turnovers the last two seasons. 

NHL Odds Money Line Trend: Colorado is 15-2 off a home loss by two goals or more the last two seasons.