This Week’s Betting Edge: How to Wager on the ACC Tournament

David Schwab

Monday, March 5, 2018 3:54 PM UTC

Monday, Mar. 5, 2018 3:54 PM UTC

This year’s ACC men’s basketball tournament gets underway Tuesday at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn. The big hitters in this conference return to action on Thursday in the quarterfinals. BetOnline has you covered with betting odds to win on its NCAAB futures board.

There is plenty of betting action all week long at the ACC Tournament leading up the championship game Saturday night at 8:30 on ESPN. There is also some solid betting value betting in the futures odds for this tournament if you know where and how to look.

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— Virginia Men's Basketball (@UVAMensHoops) March 2, 2018

Going Chalk With the Favorites

The Duke Blue Devils come into this week’s conference tournament as the No. 2 seed after going 13-5 in ACC play, and they have the best odds on the board to win at +200. While betting against Duke in the month of March always comes with a level of risk, there is way more value in going with the top-seeded Virginia Cavaliers at +250 at BetOnline.

The Cavaliers’ only loss in the conference this season against 17 victories came against Virginia Tech in a heated in-state rivalry. Virginia played Duke on the road and came away with a 65-63 victory as a 3.5-point underdog. Over their last five games, the Cavaliers have allowed more than 60 points just once as part of a shutdown defense that is ranked first in the nation in points allowed (52.8).

Virginia’s path to Saturday’s championship includes a matchup against Louisville or Florida State in the quarterfinals and it should have little difficulty getting past either team. The Cavaliers would most likely face Clemson as the No. 4 seed in the semifinals. Back on Jan. 23, they held the Tigers to 36 points in a 25-point victory at home. Head-to-head against Duke, I am going with Virginia for an NCAAB pick.

Stretching the Odds With Top Contenders

Once you get past the top two seeds in the ACC, the odds start to drop off rather quickly. The Miami Hurricanes are the No. 3 seed at +1000 odds to win followed by No. 4 Clemson at +1200 odds. The fifth seed is North Carolina State, and while I do like the value in the Wolfpack's +1400 odds to win, I do not see them getting past Friday’s semifinal round.

The best value on the board among the top contenders would still have to be No. 6 North Carolina at +700 odds to win. The Tar Heels closed out their regular season with back-to-back losses to Miami at home and rival Duke on the road to finish at 10-7 in the final ACC standings. There were some bad losses along the way in what has been a challenging season for the defending national champions, but there are still enough quality wins on the resume to add value to their betting odds.

North Carolina is a seasoned team with a coach in Roy Williams who knows how to get his players ready for the postseason. Stats, facts and recent betting trends are very important to the NCAAB handicapping process. However, past success as the stage gets bigger and bigger should not be discounted. The biggest hurdle for the Tar Heels will be Duke in the semifinals, and they already lost to Virginia by 12 points early in the season, so they will have to rise to the occasion to pay off on this bet.

Taking a Flier on a Long Shot

The one team that might be worth a second look as a long shot is the Notre Dame Fighting Irish at +2500 betting odds. They went 8-10 in conference play to fall to 10th in the standings, but they also played most of their ACC schedule without their top scorer Bonzie Colson due to injury. He returned to the lineup in a lopsided victory against Pittsburgh last Wednesday and he scored 24 points in Notre Dame’s tight 62-57 loss to Virginia in Saturday’s season finale.

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