The 2016 “Smooth Offensive Operators” Of NCAA Basketball Betting

Joe Gavazzi

Thursday, January 14, 2016 5:31 PM GMT

Thursday, Jan. 14, 2016 5:31 PM GMT

This week we look at the great offensive teams of college basketball. Find out the necessary parameters for teams to be "Smooth Operators" & improve your NCAA basketball picks.

The 2016 “SMOOTH (OFFENSIVE) OPERATORS” OF COLLEGE BASKETBALL
By Joe Gavazzi, Winning Sports Advice
Monday, January 11, 2016

The great offensive teams of college basketball are termed the “Smooth Operators.” The four parameters we examine are offensive points, offensive shooting percentage, three point shooting percentage, and foul shooting percentage. The specific parameters that they must have in these categories to qualify are defined below. But just like our Super D’s, these teams must play good defense, rebound, and take care of the basketball. Let’s define the exact parameters needed to qualify for the list:

- 75 or more offensive PPG
- 45% or more offensive field goal percentage
- 35% or more three point offensive percentage
- OR 70% or better FT percentage
- Positive rebound margin
- Positive assist/TO margin
- No worse than a -1.5 net TO margin

 

The chart below lists the teams that qualify as a Smooth Offensive Operator in 2016 College Basketball. The column in which they do not qualify is characterized by a parenthesis around it. If a team qualifies in ALL categories they will have a star before their name. That means they are one of our SUPER Offensive Operators. I have also listed the team’s SU record, their ATS record, and ATS record as underdog which will provide a very interesting comparison to the 2016 Super D list. All scoring numbers and percentages are rounded to the nearest whole number for ease of use and presentation.

 

Team

SU

ATS

Dog

Rec

Off

Pts

Off

FG %

Off

3 Pt

Foul

Try %

Rbd

Mgn

A/TO

Mgn

Net TO

Mgn

*Baylor

12-3

3-5

1-2

80

46

37

76

+9.7

+7.9

+1.5

*Boise St

12-4

5-8

0-2

79

47

35

71

+2.6

+3.2

+2.9

*Butler

12-4

7-9

2-2

85

49

36

73

+4.4

+6.3

+3.9

BYU

12-5

8-6

1-3

85

47

40

(68)

+6.4

+4.2

+0.6

*Columbia

11-6

3-4

1-1

78

45

38

72

+4.5

+3.5

+0.1

*UConn

11-4

6-5

2-1

79

49

38

75

+3.2

+2.8

+1.2

Creighton

12-5

10-6

2-2

85

50

39

(69)

+3.5

+5.9

+2.1

*Duke

14-2

9-6

0-1

88

48

38

73

+5.5

+3.6

+3.7

Evansville

14-3

6-5

3-2

79

52

36

70

+6.5

+7.0

(-0.4)

*Fordham

10-4

3-4

1-2

77

47

38

70

+4.8

+2.5

+3.0

Geo Wash

13-3

6-7

2-0

76

46

(34)

76

+5.6

+3.0

+0.8

GA Tech

11-5

9-5

3-1

78

46

39

70

+8.9

+4.4

(-0.1)

Houston

14-1

5-4

1-1

82

47

(33)

72

+6.1

+3.0

+3.5

Indiana

15-2

10-7

2-1

86

53

44

70

+7.6

+1.8

(-0.1)

*Iowa

12-3

7-4

2-0

81

47

40

73

+1.4

+7.6

4.3

Iowa St.

12-3

6-6

2-0

85

50

36

(69)

+2.6

+6.9

+3.1

J. Madison

12-5

6-6

1-1

76

45

38

72

+4.6

+0.6

(-1.4)

*Kansas

14-1

10-3

 

88

50

46

72

+6.5

+6.6

+3.8

Louisville

14-2

8-4

2-0

82

50

37

(68)

+13.4

+2.1

+3.1

*Miami Fla.

13-1

9-3

 

83

50

37

77

+6.8

+2.4

+0.9

*Michigan

12-4

9-5

1-3

79

50

43

72

+1.5

+6.6

+3.0

N. Carolina

15-2

10-7

 

88

50

(33)

75

+10.0

+8.3

+2.6

Neb/Omaha

12-6

9-4

5-1

85

47

(30)

74

+0.8

+0.5

+2.4

Northwestern

14-3

7-7

1-2

77

47

37

(69)

+4.7

+7.6

+0.2

Notre Dame

9-5

6-7

2-1

79

51

40

(68)

+4.9

+5.6

+0.4

*Oakland

10-7

9-3

6-1

86

45

39

75

+2.7

+3.2

+0.6

Oklahoma

13-1

7-5

2-0

88

48

46

71

+7.0

+3.7

(-1.5)

Oregon

13-3

9-4

1-0

76

46

(32)

70

+4.3

+1.1

+2.3

Oregon St.

11-3

7-6

2-1

75

46

38

(69)

+0.2

+2.5

+0.9

*Pitt

14-1

7-5

1-0

85

50

38

79

+10.8

+9.1

+0.3

Providence

14-2

9-6

3-1

76

45

(33)

71

+3.1

+5.3

+4.0

S. Carolina

15-0

11-1

 

80

45

38

(68)

+10.1

+0.1

+1.9

*SMU

15-0

4-7

 

82

52

43

72

+12.6

+6.7

+0.1

*St. Mary’s

13-2

12-1

1-0

79

53

45

70

+9.5

+9.8

+0.9

Texas A&M

13-2

6-4

1-0

80

47

38

(65)

+5.1

+6.4

+3.3

Texas Tech

12-2

8-2

2-1

75

46

(30)

72

+2.7

+1.6

+2.2

*Toledo

10-5

6-6

2-1

82

47

38

73

+3.4

+7.7

+0.9

*UAB

13-3

7-4

2-0

80

49

37

73

+5.6

+7.2

+0.3

NC Wilmington

10-5

7-3

2-0

82

45

(31)

71

+1.4

+3.1

+6.4

*USC

14-3

12-5

2-2

84

47

41

67

+4.2

+2.7

+0.4

Vandy

8-7

6-6

0-3

79

47

40

72

+1.2

+2.7

(-0.3)

Villanova

14-2

10-5

0-1

77

47

(32)

75

+1.9

+5.6

+3.7

Washington St.

9-6

8-6

4-2

78

49

38

70

+2.1

+0.4

(-1.4)

Wisc. Mil

12-5

7-8

3-1

79

46

37

76

+2.7

+6.4

(-0.9)

Wm. & Mary

10-4

6-3

2-1

76

48

37

70

+2.9

+4.3

(1.0)

*Xavier

14-1

10-5

1-1

80

46

37

73

+11.2

+2.2

+1.2

As you can see from the SU ATS results above, we are on the right track in isolating pointspread winners. The combined SU record of our Smooth Operators is 569-150 SU (79%). The pointspread winners are nearly as successful as our Defensive Dandies of College Hoops with a record of 345-232 ATS (60%). Unlike the Defensive Dandies of College Hoops, there is little difference between the record of these teams as favorite or underdog on the NCAA basketball odds board. In fact, dogs have succeeded just slightly better at 74-45 ATS (62.1%). As I stated in the Defensive Dandies article, the key to making this work is positive numbers in the rebound margin and assist/TO margin. For without success in these critical elements of basketball, the pointspread winners would not be nearly as abundant.

Enjoy reaping the awards with our Smooth Operators of College Basketball. But don’t forget to check out those Defensive Dandies as they are at the heart and soul of winning NCAA basketball picks.

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