Thanksgiving NCAA Basketball: Quick Pace Key In Miami Vs. Stanford Clash

Thursday, November 24, 2016 2:17 PM UTC

Thursday, Nov. 24, 2016 2:17 PM UTC

The first round of the AdvoCare Invitational holiday tournament in Orlando sees Miami laying 7 points to Stanford in an afternoon Turkey Day tip off. Check out our NCAA basketball best bet and prediction.

Stanford Cardinal (4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS)

Stanford topped Miami 66-64 in overtime to win the 2015 NIT postseason tournament the last time they met. It was 3-point chalk for that one, but UM is getting 7 points on NCAA basketball odds in this Thanksgiving affair.

A lot has changed since then, as the Cardinal are in a complete rebuild. The school fired long-time head coach Johnny Dawkins after a dismal 4-8 run to close out last year. A look at the numbers will show you he mismanaged the team’s talent and made poor adjustments during his entire tenure. Stanford made the NCAA Tournament once in his eight years in charge

Jerod Hasse is the new man in charge. The former UAB head coach is a Roy Williams protégé and stresses strong character and leadership. He also likes up-tempo basketball and coaches the fast break much like his mentor.

Forward Reid Travis is the force for Stanford. The 6-foot-8, 245-pound junior is a double-double threat every night. He missed the final 22 games last season with a leg injury. Travis averages 19.0 points and 10.5 boards to begin 2016.

Stanford is holding teams to 59.2 points per game on 34.4 percent shooting, though it has been double-digit chalk in three of four games. The defense kept its last two opponents (Weber State, Colorado State) to sub 50 points, a first for the Cardinal since 2011.


Miami Hurricanes (3-0 SU, 1-2 ATS)

Miami is 17th in KenPom’s ratings. The Hurricanes have outscored their first three opponents (Western Carolina, North Florida, and Penn) by 99 points (260-161) combined. Like the Cardinal, UM has been double-digit chalk on NCAA basketball picks in each, using its talent and athleticism to smother opponents. The defense is allowing 53.7 points per game on 32.6 percent shooting.

Miami is running out of a 3-guard set with leading scorer Ja’Quan Newton (15.7 ppg) at point. Unlike some of head coach Jim Larranaga’s previous squads, it runs best in open-court play

Larranaga has two freshmen clocking significant playing time. Five-star forward Dewan Huell is putting up 13.0 points and 6.7 boards off the bench, Bruce Brown is part of the starting trio in the backcourt.


Final Analysis

Larranaga is adamant his group plays strong team defense, and he’ll  attempt to stuff the paint to keep Reid Travis in-check. Good luck. Both teams will look to run when they get the chance. Stanford has a slim edge on the boards, and will look for an outlet early and often.  Miami wins outright, but the spread is too rich to flirt with.

NCAAB Free Pick: 'Over' 141.5Best Line Offered: BookMaker

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