Texas Tech Defense Eyeing Upset at Kansas

Mark Lathrop

Tuesday, January 2, 2018 12:51 PM UTC

Tuesday, Jan. 2, 2018 12:51 PM UTC

Mark Lathrop, breaks down a nationally televised Big 12 matchup that should be exciting to watch. Read on as he examines the lines available and makes his ATS pick.

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Kansas Jayhawks

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Free NCAAB Pick: Texas Tech +7Best Line Offered: at Heritage

In a nationally televised on ESPN the 10th ranked Kansas Jayhawks host the upstart 18th ranked Texas Tech Red Raiders on Tuesday evening in a matchup of two of the best teams in overall efficiency. Texas Tech comes in with a 12-1 SU record and their only loss coming to a talented Seton Hall team on a neutral court. Kansas comes in 11-2 after their much-publicized slip-ups against the Washington Huskies and Arizona State. Even though their last matchup was a one-point Kansas win at Texas Tech the Jayhawks have opened as 8.5-point favorites at early moving books such as BetOnline. The O/U total has opened at 147 at BookMaker.

Texas Tech comes off of a 77-53 drubbing of 17th ranked Baylor on Friday night, giving them 3 days of rest before this game. Using a 10-man rotation and a man defensive scheme, the Red Raiders are one the best defensive teams in the country in only allowing 58.2 points per game. They are also beasts on the glass and outrebounded Baylor 39-21 in their first conference game of the year. The Red Raiders are led in scoring by 6’ 3” senior guard, Keenan Evans, who averages 16.6 points per game in only 26 minutes. Those 26 minutes lead the team as well in the deep rotation that Texas Tech employs. The Red Raiders are also a very experienced team and start four to five seniors regularly. They do have a budding star in freshman 6’ 5” guard Jarrett Culver though, who averages 10.4 points per game but also is a force on defense and has already had 6 steals in one game this season.

I wrote up the Jayhawks last game, which was a 92-86 cover on the road at Texas. That win took Kansas to 8-4 ATS on the season, and they are 5-1 ATS at home this year. In that game, I was backing an apparent rebounding edge for Kansas, yet they were actually outrebounded in the game by Texas 44-38. Sophomore 7’ 0” center Udoka Azubuike had himself a game though, grabbing 13 rebounds and adding 13 points to boot. Azubuike has nearly averaged a double-double on the season, but did not face Texas Tech last season.

After opening at 8.5 the line favoring Kansas has fallen to -7 across the board as of Monday evening. It’s hard to argue with the line movement, especially with Texas Tech’s defensive numbers on the year. I would not be surprised if Texas Tech wins this game outright, so I will gladly take the 7 points available and back the Red Raiders as my Tuesday NCAAB pick.

2017-18 NCAAB Record: 22-11, +10.25Units

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